Match Info

Date: 29 January 2021, Friday


	Vicenza Virtus		Venezia

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.9	2.4	Watch
	3.3	2.9	2.4
	3.3	2.88	2.4
	3.2	2.8	2.37
	3.45	2.96	2.5
	3.4	2.88	2.4
	3.42	2.9	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.89)	2.89 ↑ (2.82)	2.41 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vicenza Virtus
28.3%

Draw
32.6%

Venezia
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

33.5%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

23.4%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Venezia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vicenza Virtus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Venezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.5%	54.5%	25%

Vicenza Virtus - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Vicenza will win (votes: 9 - 20.5%). Venezia will win (votes: 11 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.8% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Venezia has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (44%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Vicenza Virtus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Venezia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vicenza Virtus won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie B
23.01.21	Reggiana - Vicenza Virtus	2:1 ✺
19.01.21	Vicenza Virtus - Chievo	1:1 ✺
15.01.21	Vicenza Virtus - Frosinone	0:0 ✺
04.01.21	Brescia - Vicenza Virtus	0:3 ✺
30.12.20	Vicenza Virtus - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTTWL
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
23.01.21	Venezia - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
16.01.21	Pordenone - Venezia	2:0 ✺
04.01.21	Venezia - Pisa	1:1 ✺
30.12.20	Chievo - Venezia	1:1 ✺
27.12.20	Venezia - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.09.20	Venezia - Vicenza Virtus	1:0

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