Match Info

Date: 16 January 2021, Saturday


	Pordenone		Venezia

	1	X	2
	2.6	3	2.9	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.8
	2.75	2.95	2.8	Watch
	2.65	2.8	2.8
	2.81	2.95	3
	2.5	2.9	3.2
	2.75	2.92	2.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.48)	2.92 ↓ (2.99)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pordenone
35.2%

Draw
32.3%

Venezia
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

31.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

23.1%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pordenone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pordenone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Venezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.1%	65.7%	17.1%

Pordenone - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Pordenone will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). Venezia will win (votes: 6 - 17.1%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 65.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50% – 81.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Pordenone has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Venezia has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Pordenone is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Venezia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie B
04.01.21	Salernitana - Pordenone	0:2 ✺
30.12.20	Pordenone - Reggiana	3:0 ✺
27.12.20	Frosinone - Pordenone	1:1 ✺
22.12.20	Pordenone - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
18.12.20	Virtus Entella - Pordenone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWTLW
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
04.01.21	Venezia - Pisa	1:1 ✺
30.12.20	Chievo - Venezia	1:1 ✺
27.12.20	Venezia - Salernitana	1:2 ✺
22.12.20	Nuova Cosenza - Venezia	0:0 ✺
19.12.20	Venezia - SPAL	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.09.20	Venezia - Pordenone	2:2
Italian Serie B
20.06.20	Pordenone - Venezia	0:0
29.10.19	Venezia - Pordenone	1:2
Club Friendly
18.08.18	Pordenone - Venezia	1:1
13.01.18	Pordenone - Venezia	2:2
Coppa Italia
06.08.17	Venezia - Pordenone	1:2
Italian Serie C Group B
18.02.17	Venezia - Pordenone	1:0

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