Match Info

HONDURAS: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 8

Date: 29 February 2024, Thursday


	Vida		Olancho

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.4	3.3	2	Watch
	3.15	3.25	1.97
	4.25	2.69	2.08
	3.5	3.3	1.91
	3.71	3.5	1.85	Watch
	3.45	3.3	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.26)	3.22 ↓ (3.23)	1.96 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vida
25.6%

Draw
28.2%

Olancho
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

28%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

30.2%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vida's form might have worsened.

Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olancho's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vida than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vida, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olancho, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Vida - Olancho Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vida will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Olancho will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olancho: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Valdez Oseguera J. M. (G) 32. Bernardez M. (C) 18. Palacios D. 35. Suazo D. 19. Portillo J. 13. Manaiza C. 10. Canales M. 27. Chimilio L. 16. Funez E. 7. Garcia M. 11. Villafranca J.	1. Fonseca H. (G) 2. Almendarez O. (C) 33. Munoz N. 14. Silva F. 24. Elvir O. 21. Visser B. 19. Dominguez J. 8. Gomez H. 41. Altamirano C. 20. Campana L. 11. Sellecchia F.
Substitutes
29. Barahona K. 30. Bengoche A. (G) 23. Castrillo J. 20. Centeno J. 33. Cruz R. . Espinoza S. . Mejia F. 25. Palacios J. 9. Tellas G. 15. Villalta Y. 5. Zuniga A.	22. Abbott K. 34. Cubas C. 77. Fernandez C. 4. Garcia J. 39. Garcia M. 7. Lopez A. 32. Monico D. 30. Obando Y. 35. Rodriguez D. (G) 23. Velasquez J.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vida won 0.

Vida is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olancho is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olancho will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Vida won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Vida won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDS Vida
Honduras Liga Nacional
25.02.24	Vida - Real Sociedad Tocoa	3:4 ✺
18.02.24	Génesis PN - Vida	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Vida - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0 ✺
04.02.24	CD Marathón - Vida	7:0 ✺
01.02.24	Vida - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL
- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
25.02.24	Olancho - Génesis PN	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Olancho	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Olancho - Lobos UPNFM	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Olancho	0:1 ✺
31.01.24	Olancho - Real España	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
07.10.23	Vida - Olancho	0:0
12.08.23	Olancho - Vida	2:1
11.03.23	Vida - Olancho	1:1
28.01.23	Olancho - Vida	3:1
02.10.22	Olancho - Vida	2:1
06.08.22	Vida - Olancho	1:0

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