Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Triangulares - Round 2

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas (Juticalpa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Olancho		Génesis PN

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.85	4.85
	1.55	3.88	5.22
	1.55	4.18	5.36	Watch
	1.65	3.99	4.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.7)	3.98 ↑ (3.75)	5.04 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olancho
58.5%

Draw
23.2%

Génesis PN
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24.6%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.2%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Génesis PN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Olancho - Génesis PN Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Argueta G. (G) 2. Almendarez O. 14. Argueta C. 23. Delgado J. 8. Gomez H. 12. Mejia Y. 33. Munoz N. 26. Perea G. 30. Ramirez Arauz M. R. 7. Rodriguez D. 21. Zuniga Bernardez C. J.	12. Balanta R. A. (G) 24. Fonseca C. 32. Gabriel Araujo 15. Maldonado E. 33. Melendez D. 14. Mosquera J. 17. Nunez D. 27. Paz J. 30. Riascos J. 22. Sander R. 2. Vargas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 1 - 0, Gomez H. ⚽,
29', Vargas A. ↓, Miranda J. ↑,
33', 1 - 1, Gabriel Araujo ⚽,
36', Paz J. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 2, Sander R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Delgado J. ↓, Cabrera Y. A. ↑,
46', Mejia Y. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
46', Sander R. ↓, Tejeda A. ↑,
49', 1 - 3, Melendez D. ⚽,
58', Rodriguez D. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
61', Riascos J. ↓, Felix B. ↑,
65', Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
67', Perea G. 🟨,
68', Gabriel Araujo 🟨,
69', Argueta C. ↓, Leiva G. ↑,
71', Nunez D. ↓, Arzu Zapata C. I. ↑,
89', Perea G. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Olancho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Olancho is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Olancho won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Genesis	8	3	2	3	10:6	4	11
6	Olancho	8	2	5	1	6:5	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olancho FC
Honduras Liga Nacional
30.04.26	Olancho - Génesis PN	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Platense - Olancho	1:0 ✺
23.04.26	Olancho - Motagua	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Olancho - Victoria La Ceiba	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	CD Marathón - Olancho	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLTWW
- Génesis Policía Nacional
Honduras Liga Nacional
03.05.26	Génesis PN - Motagua	1:1 ✺
30.04.26	Olancho - Génesis PN	2:2 ✺
27.04.26	Génesis PN - Victoria La Ceiba	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Lobos UPNFM - Génesis PN	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Génesis PN - CD Marathón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
30.04.26	Olancho - Génesis PN	2:2
11.03.26	Génesis PN - Olancho	0:0
26.10.25	Olancho - Génesis PN	2:2
16.08.25	Génesis PN - Olancho	1:3
06.04.25	Génesis PN - Olancho	3:3
08.02.25	Olancho - Génesis PN	1:1
07.11.24	Génesis PN - Olancho	0:0

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