Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 8 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík)

Referee: Ghaltakhchyan A. (Arm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Soccernet TV
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 5


	Vikingur Reykjavik		Flora Tallinn

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	9.5	Watch
	1.26	5.75	9
	1.25	6	10
	1.23	5.73	9.57
	1.27	5.89	9.12	Watch
	1.26	6.3	9.95	Watch
	1.25	6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.49)	5.85 ↑ (4.25)	9.59 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vikingur Reykjavik
74.4%

Draw
15.9%

Flora Tallinn
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

21.8%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

20.5%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vikingur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vikingur Reykjavik's performance.

Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flora Tallinn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vikingur Reykjavik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flora Tallinn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	0%	10.3%

Vikingur Reykjavik - Flora Tallinn Predictions

Users Predictions: Vikingur Reykjavik will win (25 of 26 users predict this - 96.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.75% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jonsson I. (G) 24. Atlason D. 4. Ekroth O. 5. Fjoluson J. 22. Gunnarsson K. 25. Ingimundarson V. 8. Andrason V. (C) 11. Thordarson G. 19. Djuric D. 21. Thrandarson A. 17. Sigurpalsson A.	33. Grunvald E. (G) 26. Hussar K. 3. Vaher A. 16. Tougjas E. 6. Veering R. 5. Kreida V. 20. Zenjov S. 14. Vassiljev K. 28. Soomets M. (C) 8. Kuraksin D. 22. Lepik M. A.
Substitutes
7. Agnarsson E. 80. Arinbjornsson P. (G) 3. Aronsson D. H. 32. Brynjarsson H. A. 9. Gudjonsson H. 18. Hauksson O. 20. Ibrahimagic T. 30. Jonsson D. 29. Magnusson H. 16. Magnusson J. (G) 2. Thorkelsson S. 31. Tjorvason J.	29. Alamaa S. 9. Alliku R. 89. Kalimullin M. 23. Kolobov M. 77. Lapa K. (G) 13. Mihhailov N. 24. Pihela O. 93. Prunn S. 1. Rebane S. (G) 71. Roivassepp G. 11. Sappinen R. 7. Varjund T.
Coaches
Gunnlaugsson A.	Viik T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Lepik M. A. (Pen),
25', Thrandarson A. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Ingimundarson V. ⚽, Thrandarson A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kreida V. 🟨,
52', Gunnarsson K. 🟨,
57', Vassiljev K. 🟨,
65', Sigurpalsson A. ↓, Agnarsson E. ↑,
65', Djuric D. ↓, Ibrahimagic T. ↑,
66', Lepik M. A. ↓, Sappinen R. ↑,
66', Vassiljev K. ↓, Varjund T. ↑,
70', Andrason V. 🟨,
74', Thrandarson A. ↓, Gudjonsson H. ↑,
75', Kuraksin D. ↓, Alliku R. ↑,
78', Thordarson G. 🟨,
82', Fjoluson J. ↓, Thorkelsson S. ↑,
86', Zenjov S. ↓, Mihhailov N. ↑,
90+2', Soomets M. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Flora could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vikingur is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vikingur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
05.08.24	FH Hafnarfjordur - Vikingur Reykjavik	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
28.07.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - HK Kópavogur	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Vikingur Reykjavik - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.07.24	KA Akureyri - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLL
- Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
03.08.24	Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.24	Flora Tallinn - Virtus	5:2 ET ✺
23.07.24	Virtus - Flora Tallinn	0:0 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
19.07.24	Tammeka - Flora Tallinn	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.07.24	Celje - Flora Tallinn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWTLL

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