Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2024, Tuesday

Location: San Marino Stadium (Serravalle)

Referee: Draganov D. (Bul)


	Virtus		Flora Tallinn

	1	X	2
	5.5	5.5	1.36	Watch
	7.25	4.8	1.35
	7	5	1.38
	7.4	5.17	1.39
	7.43	5.27	1.35	Watch
	7	4.75	1.33
	7.9	5.05	1.35	Watch
	6.6	5.2	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.01 ↓ (7.72)	5.09 ↓ (6.13)	1.36 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus
13.3%

Draw
18.3%

Flora Tallinn
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.9%

15%

73.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Virtus - Flora Tallinn Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Virtus will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Flora will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flora: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Passaniti A. (G) 15. Gori N. 26. Giacomoni A. (C) 6. Sabato R. 72. Rizzo L. 4. Montanari A. 31. Vallocchia N. 45. Ciacci E. 24. Pecci A. 25. Benincasa S. 11. Lombardi T.	33. Grunvald E. (G) 26. Hussar K. 3. Vaher A. 16. Tougjas E. 6. Veering R. 5. Kreida V. 20. Zenjov S. 28. Soomets M. (C) 7. Varjund T. 8. Kuraksin D. 22. Lepik M. A.
Substitutes
14. Abouzziane S. 34. Arrigoni N. 10. Barone M. 16. Colagiovanni M. 1. De Angelis M. (G) 12. De Bartolo G. (G) 17. Golinucci A. 9. Mema M.	29. Alamaa S. 9. Alliku R. 23. Kolobov M. 78. Kukk M. 77. Lapa K. (G) 4. Lukka M. 24. Pihela O. 1. Rebane S. (G) 71. Roivassepp G. 11. Sappinen R. 14. Vassiljev K.
Coaches
Bizzotto L.	Viik T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Lombardi T. 🟨,
40', Hussar K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Soomets M. 🟨,
64', Vallocchia N. ↓, Golinucci A. ↑,
65', Lombardi T. ↓, Abouzziane S. ↑,
67', Vaher A. ↓, Kolobov M. ↑,
68', Varjund T. ↓, Alliku R. ↑,
72', Benincasa S. ↓, Mema M. ↑,
72', Kuraksin D. 🟨,
72', Pecci A. 🟨,
84', Pecci A. ↓, Arrigoni N. ↑,
84', Gori N. ↓, Barone M. ↑,
85', Veering R. ↓, Lukka M. ↑,
85', Kreida V. ↓, Vassiljev K. ↑,
85', Lepik M. A. ↓, Sappinen R. ↑,
90+6', Mema M. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Flora has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Virtus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Flora have a series of guest games.

In this match Flora is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Virtus
UEFA Champions League
16.07.24	FCSB - Virtus	4:0 ✺
09.07.24	Virtus - FCSB	1:7 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
25.05.24	Virtus - La Fiorita	0:1 penalties ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
20.04.24	Tre Penne - Virtus	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Virtus - Cosmos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWW
- Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
19.07.24	Tammeka - Flora Tallinn	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.07.24	Celje - Flora Tallinn	2:1 ✺
10.07.24	Flora Tallinn - Celje	0:5 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.07.24	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Nõmme United - Flora Tallinn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

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