Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 27

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Ligga Arena (Curitiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	Athletico Paranaense		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.75	5.75	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5.9
	1.63	3.68	6.46
	1.53	3.61	7.22	Watch
	1.59	3.74	5.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.7)	3.66 ↑ (3.5)	6.21 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
59.3%

Draw
25.6%

Vila Nova
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

26.9%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

25.8%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Athletico Paranaense - Vila Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Santos (C) 13. Teran C. 33. Aguirre Tabares J. F. 65. Arthur Dias 29. Benavidez G. 10. Zapelli B. 53. Dudu Kogitzki 37. Esquivel L. 21. Leozinho 70. Renan Peixoto 20. Julimar	99. Halls (G) 2. Elias 3. Tiago Pagnussat (C) 4. Weverton 14. Pedro Romano 5. Joao Vieira 27. Igor Henrique 6. Higor 10. Dodo 33. Bruno Xavier 9. Gabriel Poveda
Substitutes
27. Alan Kardec 5. Felipinho 6. Fernando 8. Giuliano 3. Leo 19. Luiz Fernando 22. Madson 17. Mendoza S. 1. Mycael (G) 31. Raul 77. Ricardo E. 7. Velasco K.	19. Andrey L. 20. Bruno Mendes 18. Enzo 77. Guilherme Parede 21. Gustavo Paje 7. Jean Mota 30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 23. Nathan Melo 13. Rodrigo 11. Ruan Ribeiro 22. Thalys
Coaches
Hellmann O.	Paulo Turra

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Joao Vieira 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Renan Peixoto ⚽, Benavidez G. (A),
37', Igor Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Elias 🟨,
58', Esquivel L. 🟨,
63', Bruno Xavier ↓, Guilherme Parede ↑,
63', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Andrey L. ↑,
68', Renan Peixoto ↓, Mendoza S. ↑,
68', Julimar ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
73', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Felipinho ↑,
73', Leozinho ↓, Velasco K. ↑,
73', Igor Henrique ↓, Enzo ↑,
76', Weverton 🟨,
78', Mendoza S. 🟨,
80', Dodo ↓, Gustavo Paje ↑,
80', Higor ↓, Jean Mota ↑,
80', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
83', 2 - 0, Luiz Fernando ⚽, Benavidez G. (A),
88', Velasco K. 🟨,
90', Zapelli B. ↓, Giuliano ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Athletico PR is the team to beat.

There will not play in Athletico PR: Belezi (Inactive) Isaac (Inactive) Joao Cruz (Inactive) Patrick (Yellow Cards) Viveros K. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Vila Nova: Arilson (Inactive) Emerson Urso (Injury) Marcondes (Knee Injury) Ralf (Inactive) Willian Formiga (Inactive)

There are questionable in Athletico PR: Viveros K. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Athletico PR won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie B
16.09.25	Chapecoense - Athletico Paranaense	2:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.09.25	Corinthians - Athletico Paranaense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
06.09.25	Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Athletico Paranaense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
27.08.25	Athletico Paranaense - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWL
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
13.09.25	Vila Nova - Remo	1:1 ✺
08.09.25	Vila Nova - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
01.09.25	Chapecoense - Vila Nova	2:2 ✺
25.08.25	Botafogo SP - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Vila Nova - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
17.05.25	Vila Nova - Athletico Paranaense	2:1

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