The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vila Nova 43.1%
Draw 29.5%
Avaí 27.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.4%
28.6%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
27.8%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
70%
10%
Vila Nova - Avaí Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Avaí will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Avaí (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avaí (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Helton Leite (G) 20. Nathan Camargo 3. Tiago Pagnussat 14. Anderson Jesus 6. Higor 8. Willian Maranhao 15. Dudu 11. Ryan 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 33. Bruno Xavier 49. Dellatorre
41. Leo Aragao (G) 2. Wallison 15. Guilherme Aquino 4. Gabriel Simples 36. DG 77. Ze Ricardo (C) 8. Luiz Henrique 43. Thayllon 14. Daniel Penha 10. Jean Lucas 7. Rafael Bilu
Substitutes
7. Andre Luis 38. Caio Marcelo 29. Dalberson (G) 31. Dodo 2. Elias 18. Enzo Bizzotto 17. Gabriel Dias 19. Gustavo Puskas 22. Kerlon 4. Pedro Romano 23. Samuel Lucas 13. Willian Formiga
9. Avenatti F. 6. Cabral N. 30. Cristiano 18. Hyan 1. Igor Bohn (G) 20. Isaias 16. Jamerson 25. Paulo Vitor 11. Sorriso 57. Walace Franca 95. Wenderson 52. Wesley Gasolina
Coaches
Guto Ferreira
Cauan de Almeida
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Bruno Xavier ⚽,
44', Daniel Penha 🟨,
45', DG 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Dudu ⚽, Marquinhos Gabriel (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Thayllon ↓, Walace Franca ↑,
46', Jean Lucas ↓, Paulo Vitor ↑,
57', Willian Maranhao 🟨,
64', Rafael Bilu ↓, Sorriso ↑,
79', Bruno Xavier ↓, Pedro Romano ↑,
82', Pedro Romano 🟨,
82', Ze Ricardo ↓, Wenderson ↑,
83', Luiz Henrique ↓, Avenatti F. ↑,
88', Dellatorre ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
88', Ryan ↓, Gustavo Puskas ↑,
88', Nathan Camargo ↓, Elias ↑,
90+2', Elias 🟨,
90+3', Guilherme Aquino 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Vila Nova is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Vila Nova: Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Janderson
(Yellow Cards)
Joao Vieira
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Avaí: Bruno Baldini
(Yellow Cards)
Jefferson Maciel
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Vila Nova: Enzo Bizzotto
(Injury)
Hayner
(Injury)
Rafa Silva
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Avaí: Pedro Cuiaba
(Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
Brazil
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Avenatti F. 
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