Match Info

Date: 28 May 2021, Friday


	Vila Nova		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.1
	3.1	3	2.18	Watch
	3.45	2.95	2.19
	3.61	3.08	2.31
	3.4	2.9	2.2
	3.38	3.13	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.87)	3.03 ↓ (3.23)	2.21 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
27.5%

Draw
30.6%

Botafogo RJ
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

29.4%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

21.4%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vila Nova - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Vila Nova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Botafogo will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
23.05.21	Vila Nova - Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis	1:2 penalties ✺
16.05.21	Grêmio Esportivo Anápolis - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
09.05.21	Aparecidense - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
05.05.21	Vila Nova - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
30.04.21	Vila Nova - Anápolis	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWTW
- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
22.05.21	Vasco da Gama - Botafogo RJ	1:1 penalties ✺
16.05.21	Botafogo RJ - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
09.05.21	Nova Iguaçu - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
02.05.21	Botafogo RJ - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
25.04.21	Botafogo RJ - Macaé	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTW

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