Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini (Buenos Aires) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Possi Y. (Arg)


	Villa Dálmine		San Martín de Tucumán

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.2	1.85
	4.4	3	1.87
	4.7	3.1	1.78
	4.3	3	1.86
	5.48	3.02	1.88
	4.75	2.88	1.85
	4.4	3.08	1.85
	4.4	3.05	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↑ (3.77)	3.04 ↓ (3.21)	1.86 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Dálmine
19.9%

Draw
30.4%

San Martín de Tucumán
49.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.2%

28.4%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

28.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	54.5%	27.3%

Villa Dálmine - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Villa Dálmine will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). San Martin T will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa Dálmine won 1.

Recent matches Villa Dálmine is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Martín de Tucumán is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Martín de Tucumán will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Villa Dálmine won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Dálmine won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.09.22	Tristán Suárez - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Villa Dálmine - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
26.08.22	Instituto Córdoba - Villa Dálmine	0:0 ✺
20.08.22	Villa Dálmine - Sacachispas	0:0 ✺
14.08.22	Mitre - Villa Dálmine	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTTL
- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.09.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Belgrano	1:0 ✺
05.09.22	Deportivo Riestra - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
26.08.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Güemes	4:0 ✺
20.08.22	All Boys - San Martín de Tucumán	2:2 ✺
14.08.22	San Martín de Tucumán - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.12.20	San Martín de Tucumán - Villa Dálmine	0:1
16.02.20	Villa Dálmine - San Martín de Tucumán	1:2
25.08.19	San Martín de Tucumán - Villa Dálmine	1:0
06.05.18	San Martín de Tucumán - Villa Dálmine	3:3
03.12.17	San Martín de Tucumán - Villa Dálmine	1:1
06.05.17	Villa Dálmine - San Martín de Tucumán	1:2
08.10.16	San Martín de Tucumán - Villa Dálmine	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera B
31.10.26	Sportivo Italiano - Villa Dálmine	✺
- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.11.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Colegiales	✺

Villa Dálmine - San Martín de Tucumán