Match Info

Date: 22 June 2022, Wednesday

Location: Obdulio Varela (Montevideo)


	Villa Española		Juventud de Las Piedras

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.85
	2.32	2.95	2.9
	2.5	2.84	3.08
	2.3	2.8	3.1
	2.54	2.91	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.73)	2.92 ↑ (2.89)	2.96 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Española
38.1%

Draw
31.2%

Juventud de Las Piedras
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

31%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

31.3%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Española's performance.

Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventud de Las Piedras might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	42.9%	23.8%

Villa Española - Juventud de Las Piedras Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Villa Española will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Juventud will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Villa Española is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Juventud is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villa Española could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Villa Española won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Española won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Segunda Division
19.06.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Villa Española	1:3 ✺
12.06.22	Miramar Misiones - Villa Española	1:0 ✺
04.06.22	Villa Española - Central Español	2:1 ✺
28.05.22	Sud América - Villa Española	2:0 ✺
24.05.22	Villa Española - Cerro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL
- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.06.22	Juventud de Las Piedras - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
10.06.22	Central Español - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0 ✺
04.06.22	Juventud de Las Piedras - Sud América	1:0 ✺
29.05.22	Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
24.05.22	Juventud de Las Piedras - Atenas de San Carlos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
25.03.22	Juventud de Las Piedras - Villa Española	1:0
17.11.20	Juventud de Las Piedras - Villa Española	0:0
18.09.20	Villa Española - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.10.16	Juventud de Las Piedras - Villa Española	1:1

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