Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Villa Española		Nacional Montevideo

	1	X	2
	9	4.2	1.33	Watch
	10	4.6	1.31
	7.2	5	1.3
	7.8	4.7	1.32
	8.74	4.99	1.38
	8.5	4.4	1.32
	8.9	5	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.59 ↑ (8.2)	4.7 ↑ (4.11)	1.33 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Española
10.7%

Draw
19.6%

Nacional Montevideo
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.2%

22.3%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

11.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa Española, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (-35.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Villa Española - Nacional Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 4).

Villa Española is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nacional is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villa Española could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nacional is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Villa Española won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Española won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.11.21	Deportivo Maldonado - Villa Española	0:1 ✺
30.10.21	Montevideo City Torque - Villa Española	5:0 ✺
23.10.21	Villa Española - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:3 ✺
20.10.21	Rentistas - Villa Española	3:1 ✺
17.10.21	Villa Española - Montevideo Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLLT
- Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.11.21	Nacional Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	2:0 ✺
31.10.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Nacional Montevideo - Rentistas	2:2 ✺
21.10.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Nacional Montevideo	1:0 ✺
16.10.21	Nacional Montevideo - Boston River	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
25.07.21	Nacional Montevideo - Villa Española	3:0
02.10.16	Villa Española - Nacional Montevideo	0:1

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