Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Villa Mitre		El Linqueño

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.1	9.5
	1.27	4.3	12
	1.31	3.95	9.72
	1.36	4.12	11.33	Watch
	1.3	4.25	10.7
	1.27	4.3	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.55)	4.17 ↑ (3.38)	10.88 ↑ (6.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Mitre
69.8%

Draw
21.8%

El Linqueño
8.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

26.9%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

24.2%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Mitre's performance.

El Linqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Linqueño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Mitre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Linqueño than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Villa Mitre - El Linqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Vivani J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.09.24	El Linqueño - Villa Mitre	0:1 ✺
08.09.24	Villa Mitre - Deportivo Camioneros	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Argentino Monte Maíz - Villa Mitre	3:0 ✺
25.08.24	Villa Mitre - Germinal	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Villa Mitre	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWLWW
- CA El Linqueño
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.09.24	El Linqueño - Villa Mitre	0:1 ✺
16.09.24	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - El Linqueño	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	El Linqueño - Douglas Haig	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Boca Unidos - El Linqueño	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	El Linqueño - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.09.24	El Linqueño - Villa Mitre	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
31.10.26	Douglas Haig - Villa Mitre	✺

Villa Mitre - El Linqueño