The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa San Carlos 34.8%
Draw 33%
Brown de Adrogué 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
31.1%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
30%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Villa San Carlos - Brown de Adrogué Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Villa San Carlos will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Brown de Adrogué will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brown de Adrogué (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Brown de Adrogué (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brown de Adrogué (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Akimenco T. (G) 2. Areco G. 8. Farias F. 5. Gonzalez E. 4. Lloyaiy A. 7. Lugones A. 3. Martinez A. 10. Melillo E. 11. Mussis F. 6. Ojeda F. 9. Salinas R.
1. Wysocki M. (G) 4. Aguirre C. 7. Cesare L. 11. Lopez B. 9. Meaurio N. 3. Ortiz A. 5. Patrizio T. 6. Pieres M. 2. Sanchez L. 85. Silva J. 10. Sproat M.
Substitutes
15. Acosta A. 12. Bangardino P. (G) 14. Fabi S. 20. Ferrante F. 13. Machin L. 18. Pavia K. 19. Plastino M. 16. Ponton A. 17. Zegarra Z.
20. Baez B. 14. Bogado J. 15. Castano A. 17. Ferrario F. 19. Galeano V. 12. Giovini S. (G) 18. Gonzalez L. 16. Guerrero B. 13. Rodriguez N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Lopez B. ↓, Baez B. ↑,
70', Ortiz A. ↓, Guerrero B. ↑,
71', Mussis F. ↓, Ponton A. ↑,
71', Melillo E. ↓, Fabi S. ↑,
76', Guerrero B. 🟨,
77', Cesare L. ↓, Castano A. ↑,
77', Sproat M. ↓, Ferrario F. ↑,
90', Farias F. ↓, Zegarra Z. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa San Carlos won 2.
Villa San Carlos is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Brown de Adrogué has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Brown de Adrogué may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Villa San Carlos will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Villa San Carlos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Villa San Carlos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Villa San Carlos
38
11
14
13
37:39
-2
47
19
Brown Adrogue
38
8
15
15
24:37
-13
39
Last Results with these Odds
Villa San Carlos - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Brown de Adrogué - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.01%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.