The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa Teresa 17.6%
Draw 27.5%
Danubio 54.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
17.2%
27.9%
54.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.4%
20%
67.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa Teresa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
The chances for Danubio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Teresa than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Teresa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+12.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Danubio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
34.5%
13.8%
51.7%
Villa Teresa - Danubio Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Villa Teresa will win (votes: 10 - 34.5%). Danubio will win (votes: 15 - 51.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Danubio: 33.5% โ 69.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Play Offs)).
Villa Teresa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Danubio is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Villa Teresa have a series of guest games.
In this match Danubio is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Villa Teresa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Villa Teresa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.