Match Info

Date: 15 July 2021, Thursday


	Villa Teresa		Defensor Sporting

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.91
	3.5	3.2	1.95
	2.65	3.2	2.27
	3.6	3.22	1.95
	3.4	3.4	1.9
	3.56	3.26	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.76)	3.26 ↑ (3.24)	2 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Teresa
26.8%

Draw
27.8%

Defensor Sporting
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

20%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Teresa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa Teresa's form might have worsened.

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Defensor Sporting's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Teresa than the current prediction. (+19.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa Teresa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Defensor Sporting, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Villa Teresa - Defensor Sporting Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Defensor Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Defensor Sporting will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Villa Teresa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Teresa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Villa Teresa
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.07.21	Cerro - Villa Teresa	1:1 ✺
01.07.21	Villa Teresa - Rocha	2:2 ✺
26.06.21	Danubio - Villa Teresa	1:0 ✺
16.06.21	Villa Teresa - Rampla Juniors	0:1 ✺
09.06.21	Uruguay Montevideo - Villa Teresa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTLLW
- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.07.21	Defensor Sporting - Racing Montevideo	1:4 ✺
01.07.21	Atenas de San Carlos - Defensor Sporting	2:0 ✺
25.06.21	Defensor Sporting - Central Español	4:0 ✺
16.06.21	Albion Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	2:2 ✺
10.06.21	Cerro - Defensor Sporting	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
02.04.16	Villa Teresa - Defensor Sporting	2:2
27.09.15	Defensor Sporting - Villa Teresa	1:1

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