The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villarreal 45.9%
Draw 25.3%
Red Bull Salzburg 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.6%
25.1%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
16.1%
39.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villarreal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-14.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villarreal that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Salzburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
47.9%
16.4%
35.6%
Villarreal - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
73 users predict this event. Villarreal will win (votes: 35 - 47.9%). Salzburg will win (votes: 26 - 35.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 16.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Villarreal: 36.4% – 59.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
2nd leg. No spectators. 1st leg result: 2-0.
Villarreal was already of round of 32, has a good chance of round of 16 (84%), has a chance of qtrs (47%), has a chance of semis (25%), has a small chance of final (13%), has a small chance of win league (7%).
Salzburg was already of round of 32, has a chance of round of 16 (16%), has a small chance of qtrs (10%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Recent matches Villarreal is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Salzburg is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recently Villarreal have a series of guest games.
Recently Salzburg have a series of home games.
Villarreal will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Villarreal won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
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