The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Red Bull Salzburg 37.4%
Draw 27.8%
Villarreal 34.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
26.6%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.9%
19.7%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+18.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villarreal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
52.2%
17.8%
30%
Red Bull Salzburg - Villarreal Predictions
Users Predictions:
90 users predict this event. Salzburg will win (votes: 47 - 52.2%). Villarreal will win (votes: 27 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 17.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 41.9% – 62.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
1st leg. No spectators.
Salzburg was already of round of 32, has a good chance of round of 16 (54%), has a chance of qtrs (32%), has a chance of semis (18%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
Villarreal was already of round of 32, has a chance of round of 16 (46%), has a chance of qtrs (27%), has a small chance of semis (15%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).
Salzburg in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recent matches Villarreal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Villarreal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Salzburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Salzburg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
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