Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 30

Date: 6 March 2023, Monday

Location: Ciudad Deportiva (Villarreal)

Referee: Alvendiz L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Villarreal B		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.3	3	2.15
	3.5	3.35	2.1
	3.35	3.1	2.17
	3.69	3.2	2.22
	3.45	3.3	2.15	Watch
	3.85	3.3	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↑ (2.85)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	2.13 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
26.6%

Draw
29.3%

Deportivo Alavés
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

28.7%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

28%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villarreal B's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.9%	14%	58.1%

Villarreal B - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Villarreal B will win (votes: 12 - 27.9%). Alavés will win (votes: 25 - 58.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 43.4% – 72.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Villarreal B has the most likely position - 16 (10.2%), has project points - 52, has currently - 37, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Alavés has the most likely position - 1 (18.53%), has project points - 74, has currently - 53, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (58%), has a good chance of promoted (52%), has a chance of win league (19%).

This event has quality 34, importance 43, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Villarreal B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alavés is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alavés will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
24.02.23	Eibar - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
19.02.23	Villarreal B - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
11.02.23	Mirandés - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Villarreal B - Granada	0:2 ✺
28.01.23	Real Oviedo - Villarreal B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLLW
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2
25.02.23	Deportivo Alavés - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Deportivo Alavés - Ibiza	4:2 ✺
11.02.23	Zaragoza - Deportivo Alavés	1:4 ✺
04.02.23	Deportivo Alavés - Eibar	2:0 ✺
29.01.23	Mirandés - Deportivo Alavés	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.11.22	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal B	2:0

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