Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 32

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio de la Ceramica (Villarreal)

Referee: Guzman Mansilla J. L. (Esp)


	Villarreal B		Leganés

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.5	Watch
	2.85	2.9	2.45
	3	3	2.5	Watch
	3.19	3	2.62
	3.19	2.96	2.62
	3	3	2.45
	3.05	3.1	2.5	Watch
	3	3	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.79)	3 ↓ (3.02)	2.51 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villarreal B
31%

Draw
31.5%

Leganés
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

31%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

31.7%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Leganés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	41.2%	23.5%

Villarreal B - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Villarreal B will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Leganés will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez I. (G) 2. Altimira A. 33. Navarro P. 29. Espigares A. 3. Tasende D. 10. Ontiveros J. 21. Rodri 22. Geralnik T. 18. Romero C. 9. Fores A. 11. Pascual J.	13. Alcoado D. J. C. (G) 2. Nyom A. 3. Saenz J. 6. Gonzalez S. 15. Franquesa E. 11. Cruz J. 20. Undabarrena I. 14. Brasanac D. 7. Portillo F. 9. de la Fuente M. 19. Garcia D.
Substitutes
7. Collado D. 24. Ferrari A. 14. Gelardo A. 35. Gomez R. (G) 16. Lanchi 13. Morro M. A. (G) 25. Ortega J. 5. Rando A. 15. Sanchez M.	4. Abzi D. 36. Alvin (G) 22. Arambarri A. 24. Chicco J. 32. Cisse S. 23. Djouahra N. 1. Jimenez D. (G) 5. Lopez B. 17. Neyou Y. 8. Perea L. 10. Raba D.
Coaches
Alvarez M.	Jimenez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Fores A. ⚽, Romero C. (A),
41', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Brasanac D. ↓, Neyou Y. ↑,
70', Undabarrena I. ↓, Raba D. ↑,
76', Pascual J. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Gonzalez S. ⚽,
84', Fores A. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
84', Ontiveros J. ↓, Lanchi ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Garcia D. ⚽, Raba D. (A),
87', de la Fuente M. ↓, Djouahra N. ↑,
87', Djouahra N. 🟨,
90+1', Portillo F. ↓, Chicco J. ↑,
90+5', Lanchi 🟨,
90+6', Romero C. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Villarreal B is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leganés is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Villarreal B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Villarreal B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
16.03.24	Eibar - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Villarreal B - Elche	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Eldense - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Villarreal B - Zaragoza	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	FC Andorra - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLTT
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
17.03.24	Leganés - Mirandés	4:0 ✺
11.03.24	Amorebieta - Leganés	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Leganés - Eibar	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Racing Santander - Leganés	2:1 ✺
18.02.24	Leganés - Alcorcón	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.10.23	Leganés - Villarreal B	1:0
16.04.23	Leganés - Villarreal B	1:0
03.12.22	Villarreal B - Leganés	0:0
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Leganés - Villarreal B	1:2

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