Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 21

Date: 20 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Vinotinto		América de Quito

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.2	2.9	3.25
	2.12	3.09	3.54
	2	3.36	3.46	Watch
	2.13	3.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.05)	3.13 ↓ (3.19)	3.28 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vinotinto
43.2%

Draw
29.1%

América de Quito
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

28.8%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

América de Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Vinotinto - América de Quito Predictions

Users Predictions: Vinotinto will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Cuniburo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

América de Quito is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

América de Quito could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cuniburo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cuniburo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Cuniburo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Serie B
13.07.23	Manta - Vinotinto	3:0 ✺
07.07.23	Vinotinto - Independiente Juniors	2:0 ✺
01.07.23	América de Quito - Vinotinto	1:4 ✺
28.06.23	Vinotinto - Imbabura	1:1 ✺
25.06.23	9 de Octubre - Vinotinto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWTT
- América de Quito
Ecuadorian Serie B
11.07.23	América de Quito - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
07.07.23	Chacaritas - América de Quito	1:1 ✺
01.07.23	América de Quito - Vinotinto	1:4 ✺
27.06.23	Búhos ULVR - América de Quito	3:1 ✺
24.06.23	América de Quito - Chacaritas	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
01.07.23	América de Quito - Vinotinto	1:4
21.03.23	Vinotinto - América de Quito	1:3

Vinotinto - América de Quito