Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 10

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	Vinotinto		Deportivo Cuenca

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.6	Watch
	1.82	3	4.2
	2.05	3.1	3.7	Watch
	2.13	3.01	4.09
	2.07	3.03	3.97	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.4
	2.09	3.23	3.57	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.04)	3.1 ↑ (3.08)	3.9 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vinotinto
46.1%

Draw
30%

Deportivo Cuenca
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

30.1%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

28.3%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vinotinto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vinotinto - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vinotinto (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Vinotinto (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Vinotinto (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vinotinto will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vinotinto (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mitre L. (G) 4. Aguirre A. (C) 36. Nardelli G. 26. Hernandez E. 23. Gomez L. 15. Larotonda C. 40. Mera F. 11. Mina A. 18. Ushina K. 17. Monti R. 10. Luna D.	1. Bustos B. (G) 16. Gustavino L. 6. Raggio E. 19. Gomez A. 25. Lopez A. 14. Chacon J. 8. Calderon R. 11. Estupinan L. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 17. Rodriguez A. 99. Luna Tobar C.
Substitutes
8. Caicedo J. 13. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 5. Coba K. 2. Iriarte I. 1. Lopez J. (G) 3. Micolta C. 9. Molina N. 22. Rodriguez E.	29. Arroyo L. 9. Bailone I. 23. Guevara E. 12. Minda E. (G) 32. Moreno K. 77. Nazareno B. 18. Piedra M. 15. Solis Jaramillo M. A. 10. Venezia A.
Coaches
Grabowski J.	Araujo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Mancinelli L. ⚽,
39', Raggio E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Larotonda C. 🟨,
65', Mera F. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
67', Estupinan L. ↓, Piedra M. ↑,
67', Rodriguez A. ↓, Arroyo L. ↑,
79', Ushina K. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
80', Mancinelli L. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
88', Lopez A. ↓, Guevara E. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

Vinotinto in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Deportivo Cuenca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Vinotinto is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vinotinto Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.04.25	Técnico Universitario - Vinotinto	1:3 ✺
09.04.25	Vinotinto - Delfín	5:0 ✺
05.04.25	Orense - Vinotinto	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Vinotinto - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	3:2 ✺
14.03.25	Mushuc Runa - Vinotinto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.3 WWTWW
- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
19.04.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	0:1 ✺
10.04.25	Deportivo Macará - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
05.04.25	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Cuenca	4:0 ✺
29.03.25	Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLLT

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