Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 29

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio George Capwell (Guayaquil)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Emelec		Manta

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.40	5.50	Watch
	1.61	3.50	4.75
	1.57	3.75	6.00	Watch
	1.69	3.68	5.78
	1.6	3.77	5.74	Watch
	1.62	3.60	5.70
	1.67	3.44	5.56	Watch
	1.62	3.45	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.58)	3.57 ↓ (3.75)	5.53 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emelec
57.2%

Draw
26%

Manta
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

25%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

24.5%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Emelec - Manta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Emelec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valero M. (G) 13. Gomez L. 27. Leon F. (C) 2. Leguizamon A. 4. Segura E. 21. Cevallos J. 8. Napoli G. 59. Saya R. 32. Valverde J. 19. Ruiz J. 9. Carrillo R.	12. Zambrano F. (G) 23. Medina A. 24. Moscarelli O. 21. Ortiz M. 27. Troya J. 70. Nazareno J. 5. Ramirez B. 25. Monaga J. 28. Ledesma A. 19. Alman J. (C) 10. Burbano R.
Substitutes
11. Arce T. 17. Ayovi J. 90. Bores E. (G) 26. Cuero I. 15. Fragozo L. 6. Griffith V. 80. Herrera O. 7. Klimowicz L. 5. Mina A. 10. Pizzini F. 16. Quintero S. 51. Valencia S.	17. Angulo J. 11. Asagidigbi F. 9. Blanco J. 20. Chala J. 7. Chala W. 1. Chavez W. (G) 6. Jimenez J. 31. Mina G. 14. Mina J. 52. Rialpe J. 55. Verges J.
Coaches
Medran E.	Duarte R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Napoli G. 🟨,
25', Leguizamon A. 🟨,
34', Ledesma A. 🟨,
42', Nazareno J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Ortiz M. 🟨,
56', Ruiz J. ↓, Klimowicz L. ↑,
56', Napoli G. ↓, Fragozo L. ↑,
63', Nazareno J. 🟨,
65', Burbano R. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
66', Ledesma A. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
69', Saya R. ↓, Ayovi J. ↑,
74', Zambrano F. ↓, Chavez W. ↑,
74', Troya J. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
75', 1 - 0, Leguizamon A. ⚽, Cevallos J. (A),
79', Medina A. 🟨,
81', Monaga J. ↓, Chala W. ↑,
83', Cevallos J. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
83', Gomez L. ↓, Herrera O. ↑,
86', Segura E. 🟨,
90+3', Klimowicz L. 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

Manta is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Emelec is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 37:13. (average 2.1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 2.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.09.26	Libertad Loja - Emelec	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Emelec - Leones del Norte	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	LDU Quito - Emelec	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Emelec - Técnico Universitario	2:1 ✺
09.08.26	Guayaquil City - Emelec	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLWT
- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.09.26	Deportivo Macará - Manta	4:3 ✺
29.08.26	Manta - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Manta	5:1 ✺
15.08.26	Manta - Leones del Norte	0:2 ✺
10.08.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Manta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.05.26	Manta - Emelec	0:0
26.07.25	Manta - Emelec	2:4
06.04.25	Emelec - Manta	1:1
Club Friendly
25.01.25	Emelec - Manta	2:2
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
27.11.21	Emelec - Manta	4:0
18.07.21	Manta - Emelec	0:4
07.12.14	Emelec - Manta	2:1

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