Match Info

Date: 22 February 2020, Saturday


	Virtus Entella		Benevento

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	2.25	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.2
	3.65	3	2.2	Watch
	3.34	3.03	2.08
	3.78	3.08	2.22
	3.6	3.1	2.15
	3.6	3.2	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.62)	3.07 ↑ (3.06)	2.18 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
26.4%

Draw
30.6%

Benevento
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

30.7%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

23.3%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Virtus Entella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benevento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	42.3%	34.6%

Virtus Entella - Benevento Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Benevento will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 42.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.3% – 61.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
15.02.20	Venezia - Virtus Entella	2:2 ✺
09.02.20	Virtus Entella - Pescara	2:0 ✺
01.02.20	Frosinone - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
25.01.20	Virtus Entella - Cremonese	1:1 ✺
18.01.20	Livorno - Virtus Entella	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWLTT
- Benevento Calcio
Italian Serie B
15.02.20	Benevento - Pordenone	2:1 ✺
09.02.20	Nuova Cosenza - Benevento	0:1 ✺
02.02.20	Benevento - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
25.01.20	Cittadella - Benevento	1:2 ✺
19.01.20	Benevento - Pisa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.09.19	Benevento - Virtus Entella	1:1
11.03.17	Benevento - Virtus Entella	0:0
15.10.16	Virtus Entella - Benevento	3:2
Coppa Italia
16.08.14	Virtus Entella - Benevento	3:2 penalties

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