The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Benevento 40.7%
Draw 29.3%
Pisa 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
29.3%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.5%
30.2%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benevento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
31.2%
43.7%
Benevento - Pisa Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Benevento will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Pisa will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Pisa: 19.5% โ 68.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out) and 15).
Benevento has the most likely position - 14 (7.22%), has project points - 49, has currently - 9, has a chance of relegated (18%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (25%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Pisa has the most likely position - 15 (7.3%), has project points - 48, has currently - 10, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (23%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality35, small importance28, match rating32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Benevento won 2.
Benevento is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Pisa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Benevento will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Benevento won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Benevento won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.