Match Info

Serie B - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Comunale (Chiavari)

Referee: Di Bello M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Virtus Entella		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.82	2.82	Watch
	2.48	2.82	3
	2.87	2.88	3.03
	2.75	2.70	2.99	Watch
	2.61	2.84	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.36)	2.81 ↓ (2.99)	2.97 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Entella
35%

Draw
33.4%

Sampdoria
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

31.4%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

30.1%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Sampdoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Entella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19%	57.1%	23.8%

Virtus Entella - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 3 - 15%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 5 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.5% – 81.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Sampdoria (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sampdoria (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sampdoria (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtus Entella (votes: 1 - 10%). Sampdoria (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colombi S. (G) 23. Parodi L. (C) 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. 94. Mezzoni F. 8. Karic N. 4. Nichetti M. 26. Di Mario S. 24. Franzoni A. 20. Fumagalli T. 19. Debenedetti A.	1. Ghidotti S. (G) 5. Riccio A. 17. Hadzikadunic D. 21. Giordano S. 23. Depaoli F. (C) 28. Abildgaard O. 14. Bellemo A. 18. Venuti L. 10. Cherubini L. 16. Henderson L. 9. Coda M.
Substitutes
45. Ankeye D. 7. Bariti D. 77. Boccadamo A. 81. Bottaro A. 27. Dalla Vecchia M. 22. Del Frate F. (G) 5. Lipani J. 42. Moretti L. 2. Palomba L. 90. Portanova D. 21. Russo F. 99. Siaulys O. (G)	72. Barak A. 80. Benedetti L. 33. Conti F. 3. Coubis A. 7. Cuni M. 25. Ferrari A. 4. Ferri J. 44. Ioannou N. 70. Narro V. 30. Ravaglia N. (G) 8. Ricci M. 31. Vulikic S.
Coaches
Chiappella A.	Donati M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Debenedetti A. ⚽, Fumagalli T. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Franzoni A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Cherubini L. ↓, Cuni M. ↑,
46', Henderson L. ↓, Barak A. ↑,
48', Abildgaard O. 🟨,
53', Venuti L. ↓, Ioannou N. ↑,
64', Karic N. ↓, Dalla Vecchia M. ↑,
70', Nichetti M. 🟨,
72', Abildgaard O. ↓, Ricci M. ↑,
74', Debenedetti A. 🟨,
76', Debenedetti A. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Coda M. ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, Tiritiello A. ⚽, Fumagalli T. (A),
87', Depaoli F. ↓, Narro V. ↑,
89', Di Mario S. ↓, Boccadamo A. ↑,
89', Fumagalli T. ↓, Lipani J. ↑,
89', Franzoni A. ↓, Bariti D. ↑,
90+2', Dalla Vecchia M. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent form of Virtus Entella has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sampdoria has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Virtus Entella: Guiu B. (Inactive) Siaulys O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sampdoria: Altare G. (Knee Injury) Ferrari A. (Thigh Injury) Girelli S. (Inactive) Malagrida L. (Ankle Injury) Pedrola E. (Hamstring Injury) Romagnoli S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Virtus Entella won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Entella won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B
05.10.25	Modena - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Virtus Entella - Bari	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Avellino - Virtus Entella	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Padova - Virtus Entella	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Virtus Entella - Mantova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLLW
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
05.10.25	Sampdoria - Pescara	4:1 ✺
01.10.25	Sampdoria - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Bari - Sampdoria	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Monza - Sampdoria	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Sampdoria - Cesena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
03.08.23	Sampdoria - Virtus Entella	3:1
06.09.15	Virtus Entella - Sampdoria	2:2
12.08.15	Virtus Entella - Sampdoria	0:2
06.08.14	Virtus Entella - Sampdoria	0:0

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