Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Paolo II (Francavilla Fontana)


	Virtus Francavilla		Sarnese

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.15	3.15	3
	2.24	3.07	3.12	Watch
	2.2	3.13	3.07
	2.15	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.15)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)	3.03 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
41.3%

Draw
29%

Sarnese
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

29.1%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

30.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Virtus Francavilla have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Sarnese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnese than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Virtus Francavilla - Sarnese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Carretta M. (Penalty Awarded),
39', 1 - 1, Foggia C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 2, ⚽,
80', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sarnese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Virtus Francavilla has had a series of home games.

Virtus Francavilla might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Virtus Francavilla won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Virtus Francavilla	6	5	0	1	12:8	4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
19.04.26	Virtus Francavilla - Francavilla	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Virtus Francavilla - Fidelis Andria	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Afragolese - Virtus Francavilla	2:2 ✺
29.03.26	Virtus Francavilla - Nardo	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Virtus Francavilla - Nola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLTWW
- Sarnese
Italian Serie D - Group H
26.04.26	Sarnese - Francavilla	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Fidelis Andria - Sarnese	2:1 ✺
12.04.26	Sarnese - Nardo	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Acerrana - Sarnese	2:5 ✺
28.03.26	Sarnese - Nola	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
21.12.25	Sarnese - Virtus Francavilla	0:0

Virtus Francavilla - Sarnese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide