Match Info

Serie D - Group H - Round 27

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giovanni Paolo II (Francavilla Fontana)


	Virtus Francavilla		Nola

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.3
	1.9	3.45	3.31
	1.95	3.56	3.33	Watch
	1.95	3.2	3.3
	1.93	3.45	3.41
	1.99	3.15	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (1.99)	3.35 ↑ (3.15)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Francavilla
46.3%

Draw
26.7%

Nola
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.3%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Francavilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

The chances for Nola have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nola than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Virtus Francavilla - Nola Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Bonavolonta A. ⚽,
64', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 9).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Nola has had a series of home games.

Virtus Francavilla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Virtus Francavilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Virtus Francavilla	6	5	0	1	12:8	4	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Francavilla Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
01.03.26	Heraclea - Virtus Francavilla	1:3 ✺
22.02.26	Virtus Francavilla - Gravina	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Città di Fasano - Virtus Francavilla	0:3 ✺
08.02.26	Virtus Francavilla - Paganese	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Real Normanna - Virtus Francavilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWLT
- SS Nola 1925
Italian Serie D - Group H
01.03.26	Nola - Francavilla	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Nola - Fidelis Andria	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Heraclea - Nola	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Nola - Nardo	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Nola - Città di Fasano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
02.11.25	Nola - Virtus Francavilla	3:2

Virtus Francavilla - Nola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide