Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 9

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Tonino Benelli (Pesaro)

Referee: Ramondino F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Vis Pesaro		Grosseto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3.40	2.05
	2.70	3.30	2.17	Watch
	2.98	3.65	2.15
	3.74	3.63	1.84	Watch
	2.90	3.45	2.10
	3.01	3.38	2.08
	3.00	3.35	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.76)	3.45 ↑ (3.29)	2.08 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
29.9%

Draw
26.3%

Grosseto
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

27.9%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27.8%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Vis Pesaro - Grosseto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/8 - finals)).

Recent results have been tough for Vis Pesaro (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Grosseto has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Grosseto may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Grosseto is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Vis Pesaro has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Vis Pesaro against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Grosseto	8	4	3	1	14:7	7	15
20	Vis Pesaro	7	1	1	5	8:16	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Vis Pesaro - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 33.29%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Grosseto - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.77%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.26	Vis Pesaro - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Spezia - Vis Pesaro	3:1 ✺
16.09.26	Vis Pesaro - Reggiana	1:4 ✺
12.09.26	Forlì - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Vis Pesaro - Ostia Mare	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLLL
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group B
03.10.26	Grosseto - Sambenedettese	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	Pineto - Grosseto	0:4 ✺
20.09.26	Grosseto - Perugia	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Grosseto - Campobasso	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Pianese - Grosseto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
12.03.22	Vis Pesaro - Grosseto	2:1
31.10.21	Grosseto - Vis Pesaro	1:1

Vis Pesaro - Grosseto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide