Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Play Out - Final

Date: 19 May 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Vis Pesaro		Recanatese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.2	3.1	3.3
	2.24	3.1	3.5
	2.24	3	3.5
	2.16	3.13	3.35
	2.1	3.05	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.16)	3.06 ↓ (3.13)	3.33 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
42.3%

Draw
30%

Recanatese
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

29.4%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

28.7%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Vis Pesaro - Recanatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Neri F. (G) 6. Rossoni S. 4. Zagnoni D. 13. Neri G. M. 25. Mattioli A. 38. Rossetti M. 10. Di Paola M. 80. Da Pozzo L. 7. Pucciarelli M. 9. Nicastro F. 30. Molina J. I.	12. Meli G. (G) 5. Shiba C. 3. Allievi N. 14. Ferrante E. 19. Raimo A. 31. Fiorini M. 16. Morrone B. 25. Longobardi G. 10. Sbaffo A. 8. Carpani G. 9. Melchiorri F.
Substitutes
19. Afonso Peixoto 15. Ceccacci M. 28. Foresta A. 60. Gulli M. 39. Iervolino A. 20. Karlsson O. 23. Loru L. . Mamona B. 12. Mariani M. (G) 8. Nina C. 16. Obi J. 11. Pecile D. 22. Polverino E. (G) 5. Tonucci D. 37. Valdifiori M.	74. Ahmetaj M. 37. Ferretti D. 21. Guidobaldi F. 11. Lipari M. 22. Mascolo N. (G) 30. Mazia A. 7. Pelamatti A. 54. Peretti M. 4. Prisco A. 24. Raparo M. 33. Rizzo F. . Tiberi M. 2. Veltri A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', Molina J. I. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Nicastro F. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Sbaffo A. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Pucciarelli M. ⚽,
45+5', Di Paola M. 🟨,
45+6', Longobardi G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', Molina J. I. ↓, Karlsson O. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Sbaffo A. ⚽,
58', Melchiorri F. ↓, Raparo M. ↑,
62', 3 - 2, Mattioli A. ⚽,
66', Longobardi G. ↓, Rizzo F. ↑,
66', Morrone B. ↓, Lipari M. ↑,
69', 🟨,
70', Nicastro F. ↓, Obi J. ↑,
70', Neri F. ↓, Polverino E. ↑,
71', 3 - 3, Sbaffo A. ⚽,
76', Carpani G. 🟨,
79', Mattioli A. ↓, Mamona B. ↑,
84', Fiorini M. ↓, Veltri A. ↑,
85', Raparo M. 🟨,
86', Sbaffo A. 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 3, Pucciarelli M. ⚽,
90+7', Pucciarelli M. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vis Pesaro won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Vis Pesaro will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Vis Pesaro won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vis Pesaro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group A
12.05.24	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
28.04.24	Vis Pesaro - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Sestri Levante - Vis Pesaro	3:2 ✺
14.04.24	Vis Pesaro - Perugia	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Rimini - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWL
- USD Recanatese 1923
Italian Serie C Group A
12.05.24	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
28.04.24	Virtus Entella - Recanatese	1:0 ✺
21.04.24	Recanatese - Gubbio	2:2 ✺
15.04.24	Cesena - Recanatese	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Recanatese - Carrarese	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
12.05.24	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
24.02.24	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	1:0
22.10.23	Vis Pesaro - Recanatese	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	1:3 ET
Italian Serie C Group B
23.12.22	Vis Pesaro - Recanatese	0:1
04.09.22	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	0:0
Italian Serie D - Group F
03.09.17	Recanatese - Vis Pesaro	0:4

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