Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 27

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Tonino Benelli (Pesaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Vis Pesaro		Sestri Levante

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5.2
	1.65	3.55	5.99
	1.58	3.66	6.29	Watch
	1.6	3.3	6
	1.58	3.82	5.68	Watch
	1.58	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.4)	3.56 ↓ (3.94)	5.73 ↓ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
57.9%

Draw
26%

Sestri Levante
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

23%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

21.8%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vis Pesaro's form might have worsened.

Sestri Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vis Pesaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Vis Pesaro - Sestri Levante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vukovic A. (G) 6. Palomba L. 3. Zoia R. 26. Coppola F. 34. Cannavo K. 7. Pucciarelli M. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 77. Afonso Peixoto 17. Paganini L. 30. Orellana C. 9. Nicastro F.	99. Guadagno J. (G) 95. Primasso A. 4. Pane M. 5. Valentini N. 3. Furno C. 58. Fedele M. 6. Brunet J. 18. Rosetti M. 43. Montebugnoli M. 7. Durmush M. 11. Cominetti M.
Substitutes
15. Ceccacci M. 95. Di Renzo G. 23. Forte M. 97. Lari N. 12. Mariani M. (G) 13. Neri G. M. 20. Obi J. 90. Okoro A. 1. Pozzi A. (G) 27. Raychev A. 40. Rizzo A. 16. Schiavon M. 71. Tavernaro F. 5. Tonucci D.	10. Clemenza L. 29. Di Giorgio R. 22. Fusco E. (G) 17. Goglino P. A. 23. Nenci O. 25. Nunziatini F. 14. Oneto E. 77. Piu A. 27. Podda L. 86. Raggio G. S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Rosetti M. 🟨,
29', Fedele M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Pucciarelli M. 🟨,
55', Fedele M. ↓, Nunziatini F. ↑,
55', Primasso A. ↓, Podda L. ↑,
56', Orellana C. 🟨,
59', Brunet J. ↓, Piu A. ↑,
60', Orellana C. ↓, Raychev A. ↑,
60', Afonso Peixoto ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
69', Podda L. 🟨,
78', Cominetti M. ↓, Raggio G. S. ↑,
78', Durmush M. ↓, Di Giorgio R. ↑,
86', Pucciarelli M. ↓, Tavernaro F. ↑,
86', Paganini L. ↓, Lari N. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Vis Pesaro is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sestri Levante is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Vis Pesaro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vis Pesaro is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Vis Pesaro to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vis Pesaro won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.7:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Vis Pesaro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
07.02.25	Perugia - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
31.01.25	Vis Pesaro - Campobasso	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Ternana - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Pontedera - Vis Pesaro	0:1 ✺
12.01.25	Vis Pesaro - Legnago Salus	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWW
- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
09.02.25	Sestri Levante - Pianese	2:3 ✺
02.02.25	Sassari Torres - Sestri Levante	2:1 ✺
24.01.25	Sestri Levante - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	SPAL - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Sestri Levante - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
05.10.24	Sestri Levante - Vis Pesaro	1:1
21.04.24	Sestri Levante - Vis Pesaro	3:2
17.12.23	Vis Pesaro - Sestri Levante	2:2

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