Match Info

AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 6

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Vissel Kobe		Chengdu Rongcheng

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.8	5.3	Watch
	1.62	3.71	6.17
	1.55	4	5.98	Watch
	1.6	3.6	5.5
	1.61	3.91	5.89	Watch
	1.54	3.8	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.39)	3.8 ↓ (4.63)	5.89 ↓ (7.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
59.3%

Draw
24.7%

Chengdu Rongcheng
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

20.2%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7%

19.2%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vissel Kobe's form might have worsened.

Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vissel Kobe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Vissel Kobe - Chengdu Rongcheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Vissel Kobe (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vissel Kobe will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Gonda S. (G) 2. Iino N. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 15. Honda Y. 24. Sakai G. 7. Ideguchi Y. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 18. Ide H. 27. Erik 13. Sasaki D. 11. Muto Y.	1. Jian Tao (G) 2. Hu H. 5. Letschert T. 19. Dong Y. 22. Li Y. 11. Gurfinkel Y. 7. Wei Shihao 8. Chow T. (C) 16. Yang Ming-Yang 10. Romulo 9. Felipe Silva
Substitutes
77. Gustavo Klismahn 23. Hirose R. 31. Iwanami T. 26. Jean Patric 29. Komatsu R. 1. Maekawa D. (G) 9. Miyashiro T. 41. Nagato K. 6. Ogihara T. 10. Osako Y. 32. Ubong R. (G) 30. Yamauchi K.	4. Delgado P. 39. Gan Chao 58. Liao Rongxiang 48. Li Moyu 32. Liu Dianzuo (G) 3. Tang Xin 17. Wang Dongsheng 15. Yan Dinghao 28. Yang Shuai 26. Yuan Mincheng
Coaches
Yoshida T.	Seo Jung-Won

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Dong Y. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Muto Y. ⚽, Erik (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Felipe Silva ⚽, Chow T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Romulo ↓, Liao Rongxiang ↑,
60', Erik ↓, Osako Y. ↑,
63', Ide H. 🟨,
66', Chow T. 🟨,
69', Kuwasaki Y. 🟨,
71', Kuwasaki Y. ↓, Miyashiro T. ↑,
71', Ide H. ↓, Ogihara T. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Felipe Silva (Penalty Awarded),
79', Hu H. ↓, Gan Chao ↑,
79', Dong Y. ↓, Yuan Mincheng ↑,
81', Sakai G. ↓, Nagato K. ↑,
81', Iino N. ↓, Hirose R. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Sasaki D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Li Y. ↓, Yang Shuai ↑,
90+3', Yang Ming-Yang ↓, Yan Dinghao ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Chengdu Rongcheng may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vissel Kobe is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
06.12.25	Kyoto Sanga - Vissel Kobe	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vissel Kobe - Tokyo	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
26.11.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Vissel Kobe	0:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
22.11.25	Machida Zelvia - Vissel Kobe	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWLW
- Chengdu Rongcheng
AFC Champions League
25.11.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	1:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
22.11.25	Shenzhen Peng City - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
04.11.25	FC Seoul - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
31.10.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Qingdao West Coast - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTTLT

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