Match Info

J1 League - Round 11

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	21:00	Stan Sport
China	18:00	K-Ball
Hong Kong	18:00	M Plus Live
Japan	19:00	DAZN Japan


	Kawasaki Frontale		Vissel Kobe

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.57
	2.75	3.50	2.35
	2.42	3.45	2.62	Watch
	2.52	3.75	2.76
	2.45	3.66	2.7	Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.7
	2.46	3.64	2.74	Watch
	2.4	3.55	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.5)	3.58 ↑ (3.35)	2.64 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kawasaki Frontale
37.8%

Draw
26.4%

Vissel Kobe
35.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.7%

27.4%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

27.9%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Kawasaki Frontale - Vissel Kobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 4. Pedro Romano 28. Maruyama Y. 5. Sasaki A. (C) 19. Kawahara S. 8. Tachibanada K. 25. Yamaichi S. 16. Ozeki Y. 23. Marcinho 97. Derik Lacerda	71. Gonda S. (G) 2. Iino N. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 3. Thuler M. 15. Diego 7. Ideguchi Y. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 94. Erik 11. Muto Y. 10. Osako Y. 41. Nagato K.
Substitutes
17. Ito T. 11. Kobayashi Y. 2. Matsunagane Y. 20. Mochiyama K. 34. Osa R. 1. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 22. Uremovic F. 14. Wakizaka Y. 6. Yamamoto Y.	21. Arai S. (G) 16. Caetano 5. Goke Y. 44. Hidaka M. 23. Iwamoto Y. 26. Jean Patric 29. Komatsu R. 24. Sakai G. 20. Watanabe K.
Coaches
Hasebe S.	Skibbe M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Nagato K. ↓, Iwamoto Y. ↑,
52', Sasaki A. 🟨,
59', Yamaichi S. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
59', Ozeki Y. ↓, Wakizaka Y. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Marcinho ⚽, Ito T. (A),
67', Pedro Romano ↓, Uremovic F. ↑,
69', Iino N. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Ito T. ⚽, Kawahara S. (A),
73', 2 - 1, Osako Y. ⚽, Erik (A),
77', Kuwasaki Y. ↓, Hidaka M. ↑,
79', Muto Y. 🟨,
82', Derik Lacerda ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
82', Yamahara R. ↓, Yamamoto Y. ↑,
86', Erik ↓, Komatsu R. ↑,
87', Marcinho ↓, Mochiyama K. ↑,
90+3', Tachibanada K. ↓, Matsunagane Y. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 7th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 2.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Kawasaki could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Kawasaki: Hayashi S. (Knee Injury) Konno K. (Foot Injury) Miyagi T. (Hamstring Injury) Romanic L. (Foot Injury) Taniguchi H. (Thigh Injury).

Confirmed absences for Vissel Kobe: Ogihara T. (Knee Injury) Sasaki D. (Knee Injury) Tominaga N. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kawasaki has recorded 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:25 (averaging 1.9:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kawasaki against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 18:12 goals (averaging 2.3:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Vissel Kobe	9	6	1	2	14:9	5	19
7	Kawasaki Frontale	10	4	4	2	21:16	5	16

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Vissel Kobe: 13% Kawasaki Frontale: 8.66%

Last Results with these Odds

Vissel Kobe - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.96%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
17.10.26	Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale	2:4 ✺
Japan J League Cup
14.10.26	Júbilo Iwata - Kawasaki Frontale	0:4 ✺
Japan J1 League
11.10.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Nagoya Grampus	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.10.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
29.09.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW
- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
18.10.26	Fagiano Okayama - Vissel Kobe	0:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
14.10.26	Vissel Kobe - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
09.10.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Vissel Kobe	4:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.09.26	Vissel Kobe - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
20.09.26	Gamba Osaka - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
21.06.25	Kawasaki Frontale - Vissel Kobe	1:2
16.04.25	Vissel Kobe - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1
07.08.24	Kawasaki Frontale - Vissel Kobe	3:0
16.06.24	Vissel Kobe - Kawasaki Frontale	1:0
Japan Super Cup
16.02.24	Vissel Kobe - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1
Japan J1 League
12.08.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Vissel Kobe	0:1
22.07.23	Vissel Kobe - Kawasaki Frontale	2:2

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