Match Info

J1 League - Round 11

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Optus Sport
China	QQ Sports
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Vissel Kobe		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.5	Watch
	2.35	2.9	3.3
	2.33	2.87	3.26	Watch
	2.38	3	3.55
	2.37	2.92	3.49	Watch
	2.4	2.8	3.2
	2.27	2.94	3.69	Watch
	2.35	2.9	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.26)	2.9 ↓ (3.27)	3.41 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
40.1%

Draw
32.4%

Machida Zelvia
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.7%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

28.2%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Vissel Kobe - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Vissel Kobe (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Machida Zelvia will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 1 - 25%). Machida Zelvia (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maekawa D. (G) 24. Sakai G. 4. Yamakawa T. 15. Honda Y. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 6. Ogihara T. 7. Ideguchi Y. 9. Miyashiro T. 13. Sasaki D. 10. Osako Y. 23. Hirose R.	1. Tani K. (G) 5. Dresevic I. 50. Okamura D. 3. Shoji G. 26. Hayashi K. 23. Shirasaki R. 18. Shimoda H. 19. Nakayama Y. 9. Fujio S. 7. Soma Y. 90. Oh Se-Hun
Substitutes
21. Arai S. (G) 16. Caetano 52. Hamasaki K. 2. Iino N. 31. Iwanami T. 66. Matsuda R. 11. Muto Y. 5. Saito M. 30. Yamauchi K.	15. Duke M. 49. Kuwayama K. 6. Mochizuki H. 13. Morita T. (G) 10. Na Sang-Ho 22. Numata T. 8. Sento K. 99. Takahashi D. 39. Vasquez B.
Coaches
Yoshida T.	Kuroda G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Dresevic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Okamura D. (Own goal),
70', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Duke M. ↑,
70', Fujio S. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
77', Hirose R. ↓, Muto Y. ↑,
82', Hayashi K. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
82', Shirasaki R. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
88', Dresevic I. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
90', Na Sang-Ho 🟨,
90+1', Sasaki D. ↓, Iino N. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Vissel Kobe will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Gustavo Klismahn (Injury)

There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vissel Kobe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Vissel Kobe won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
16.04.25	Vissel Kobe - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Tokyo Verdy - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Vissel Kobe - Albirex Niigata	0:1 ✺
02.04.25	Yokohama FC - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Kashima Antlers - Vissel Kobe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWL
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League
13.04.25	Machida Zelvia - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.04.25	Ventforet Kofu - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.04.25	Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale	2:2 ✺
02.04.25	Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
26.06.24	Vissel Kobe - Machida Zelvia	0:0
13.04.24	Machida Zelvia - Vissel Kobe	1:2

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