The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 41.3%
Draw 27.9%
Vissel Kobe 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
28.9%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
28%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sanfrecce Hiroshima's form might have worsened.
Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vissel Kobe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vissel Kobe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
30.8%
7.7%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Vissel Kobe Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 35.2% – 92%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Osako K. (C) 33. Shiotani T. 3. Yamasaki T. 19. Sasaki S. 15. Nakano S. 6. Kawabe H. 35. Nakajima Y. 24. Higashi S. 11. Kato M. 39. Nakamura S. 17. Kinoshita K.
71. Gonda S. (G) 24. Sakai G. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 3. Thuler M. 41. Nagato K. 19. Mitsuta M. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 7. Ideguchi Y. 11. Muto Y. 10. Osako Y. 13. Sasaki D.
Substitutes
25. Chajima Y. 9. Germain R. 45. Kobayashi S. 41. Maeda N. 40. Ohara M. 99. Ouchi I. (G) 16. Shichi T. 18. Suga D. 10. Suzuki A.
16. Caetano 15. Diego 5. Goke Y. 28. Hamasaki K. 44. Hidaka M. 23. Hirose R. 29. Komatsu R. 1. Maekawa D. (G) 80. Nduka B.
Coaches
Gaul B.
Skibbe M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Kato M. ⚽, Higashi S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sasaki D. ↓, Hirose R. ↑,
46', Mitsuta M. ↓, Komatsu R. ↑,
53', Ideguchi Y. 🟨,
63', 1 - 1, Komatsu R. ⚽,
66', Nagato K. ↓, Diego ↑,
71', Kuwasaki Y. ↓, Hidaka M. ↑,
72', Kato M. ↓, Germain R. ↑,
72', Thuler M. 🟨,
75', Nakamura S. 🟨,
77', Yamasaki T. 🟨,
81', Nakamura S. ↓, Suzuki A. ↑,
81', Nakajima Y. ↓, Shichi T. ↑,
90', Yamakawa T. ↓, Caetano ↑,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Kinoshita K. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Osako Y. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Suzuki A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Muto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Higashi S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Hidaka M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Germain R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hirose R. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Sasaki S. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Komatsu R. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 1.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Hiroshima will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Hiroshima: Arai N.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Hiroshima: Germain R.
(Injury)
Kim Ju-Sung
(Injury)
There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Ogihara T.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.9:1.3).
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
Vissel Kobe: 20.95% Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 10.48%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4
2
2
0
8:2
6
8
6
Vissel Kobe
4
2
1
1
4:3
1
7
Last Results with these Odds
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 47.02%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
China
Japan
World
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Osako K. (C) 
Thuler M. 
Gaul B. 
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