Match Info

Baiano - Round 1

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)


	Vitória Salvador		Atlético de Alagoinhas

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	4.05
	1.97	3.15	3.72	Watch
	1.85	3	3.8
	2.04	3.01	4.07
	1.71	3.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.71)	3.14 ↓ (3.25)	4.03 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
48.2%

Draw
29.1%

Atlético de Alagoinhas
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

28%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Atlético de Alagoinhas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Vitória Salvador - Atlético de Alagoinhas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yuri (G) 20. Diogo Antonio 8. Dudu Miraima (C) 3. Edenilson 11. Felipe Cardoso 6. Felipe Vieira 4. Kauan 9. Lawan 10. Pablo 2. Roberto P. 5. Ze Breno	1. Patyego (G) 8. Crispim D. 3. Dede 7. Everson Ribeiro 11. Higor Farias 9. Michael 10. Miller 6. Santos A. 4. Thawan 2. Van 5. Willian Kaefer

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Ze Breno 🟨,
38', Kauan ↓, Luis Miguel ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Roberto P. 🟨,
60', Higor Farias ↓, Rocha R. ↑,
61', Felipe Cardoso ↓, Jamerson ↑,
61', Dudu Miraima ↓, Lucas Lohan ↑,
70', Everson Ribeiro 🟨,
74', Van ↓, Hernandes ↑,
75', Everson Ribeiro ↓, Jefferson ↑,
77', Jefferson 🟨,
79', Felipe Vieira ↓, Kike Saverio ↑,
79', Diogo Antonio ↓, Inacio G. ↑,
81', Lucas Lohan 🟨,
90+1', Patyego 🟨,
90+2', Miller ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 5.

Vitória is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, Vitória is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Vitória Salvador - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
03.12.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Vitória Salvador	4:0 ✺
29.11.25	Vitória Salvador - Mirassol	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Sport Recife - Vitória Salvador	1:3 ✺
19.11.25	Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WLWWT
- Atlético de Alagoinhas
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
08.03.25	Vitória Salvador - Atlético de Alagoinhas	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Vitória Salvador	0:4 ✺
22.02.25	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
19.02.25	Jacobina - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:3 ✺
09.02.25	Juazeirense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
08.03.25	Vitória Salvador - Atlético de Alagoinhas	3:0
01.03.25	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Vitória Salvador	0:4
22.02.25	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Vitória Salvador	0:1
25.02.24	Vitória Salvador - Atlético de Alagoinhas	3:0
08.02.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Vitória Salvador	1:2
26.02.22	Vitória Salvador - Atlético de Alagoinhas	0:0
24.02.21	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Vitória Salvador	1:2

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