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Current Win Probability
Vitória Salvador 43.8%
Draw 30.2%
Criciúma 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
28.9%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
28.6%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Vitória Salvador have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (+1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31.6%
42.1%
26.3%
Vitória Salvador - Criciúma Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Criciúma will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.9% – 64.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 27. Caceres R. 97. Willean Lepo 4. Wagner Leonardo (C) 16. Lucas Esteves 8. Luan Silva 29. Willian Oliveira 5. Leo Naldi 30. Matheuzinho 9. Alerrandro 39. Janderson
1. Gustavo (G) 27. Claudinho 3. Rodrigo (C) 33. Walisson Maia 14. Trauco M. 88. Gustavo Barreto 6. Ronald Lopes 17. Matheusinho 22. Marcelo Hermes 45. Arthur Caike 11. Bolasie Y.
Substitutes
25. Bruno Uvini 31. Castillo E. 80. Daniel Junior 37. Everaldo 83. Fabio Soares 35. Fintelman (G) 10. Jean Mota 22. Muriel Becker (G) 62. Pablo 14. Patric Calmon 40. Reynaldo 17. Ze Hugo
25. Alisson (G) 30. Barcia M. 23. Citadin E. 99. Eduardo Melo 15. Eliedson 41. Erick Garcia 7. Fellipe Mateus 5. Higor Meritao 21. Joao Carlos 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 8. Newton 32. Teixeira M. (G)
Coaches
Thiago Carpini
Claudio Tencati
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Alerrandro (Pen),
37', 2 - 0, Lucas Esteves ⚽, Alerrandro (A),
41', Walisson Maia 🟨,
43', 2 - 1, Matheusinho ⚽, Bolasie Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ronald Lopes ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
51', Gustavo Barreto 🟨,
61', Willian Oliveira ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
72', Trauco M. ↓, Marquinhos Gabriel ↑,
72', Gustavo Barreto ↓, Newton ↑,
73', Janderson ↓, Everaldo ↑,
73', Alerrandro ↓, Castillo E. ↑,
75', Bolasie Y. ↓, Citadin E. ↑,
85', Matheusinho ↓, Joao Carlos ↑,
86', Caceres R. ↓, Bruno Uvini ↑,
86', Matheuzinho ↓, Jean Mota ↑,
89', Matheuzinho 🟨,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Vitória won 2.
Recent matches Vitória is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Criciúma is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Vitória could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Vitória will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Vitória: Everaldo
(Injury)
There will not play in Criciúma: Felipe Vizeu
(Injury)
Jonathan
(Injury)
There are questionable in Criciúma: Figueiredo T.
(Injury)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Vitória won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Vitória won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.
Brazil
Chile
Peru
World
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Lucas Arcanjo (G) 
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Citadin E. 
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