The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitória Salvador 42.1%
Draw 30.3%
Athletico Paranaense 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.4%
28.5%
50.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vitória Salvador's performance.
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletico Paranaense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
11.1%
55.6%
Vitória Salvador - Athletico Paranaense Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Athletico PR: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 2. Britez E. 25. Caca 36. Luan Candido 13. Ramon 44. Baralhas (C) 95. Caique Goncalves 10. Matheuzinho 33. Erick 91. Rene 79. Renato Kayzer
23. Santos (C) 29. Benavidez G. 33. Aguirre F. 4. Arthur Dias 12. Gilberto 14. Luiz Gustavo 16. Jadson 6. Leo Derik 21. Leozinho 7. Mendoza S. 9. Viveros K.
Substitutes
26. Edenilson 70. Fabiano 23. Fabricio 83. Jamerson 20. Lucas Silva 7. Marinho 98. Matheusinho 11. Osvaldo 12. Tarzia D. 15. Walace 71. Yuri (G) 88. Ze Vitor
18. Calderon Vargas K. A. 25. Dantas 63. Diogo Riquelme 53. Dudu Kogitzki 5. Felipinho 2. Gilberto Junior 8. Joao Cruz 3. Leo 1. Mycael (G) 70. Renan Peixoto 19. Rivaldo J. 10. Zapelli B.
Coaches
Jair Ventura
Hellmann O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Rene ⚽,
25', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
45+2', Aguirre F. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Erick ⚽, Britez E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Caique Goncalves ↓, Ze Vitor ↑,
46', Leo Derik ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
46', Leozinho ↓, Calderon Vargas K. A. ↑,
60', 3 - 0, Rene ⚽,
66', Gilberto ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
66', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
71', Erick ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
73', Arthur Dias 🟨,
74', Tarzia D. 🟨,
74', Mendoza S. 🟨,
79', Rene 🟨,
81', Renato Kayzer ↓, Fabricio ↑,
82', Matheuzinho ↓, Marinho ↑,
82', Jadson ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
89', Rene ↓, Walace ↑,
89', Marinho 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 0, Marinho ⚽, Fabricio (A),
90+4', Britez E. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 0-2.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 1.
Vitória is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Athletico PR is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Athletico PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Vitória: Anderson
(Knee Injury)
Camutanga
(Broken Leg)
Dudu
(Back Injury)
Edu
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Emmanuel Martinez
(Red Card)
Nathan Mendes
(Knee Injury)
Pochettino T.
(Inactive)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Vitória: Riccieli
(Calf Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:34. (average 1.3:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.6:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Vitória Salvador - the odds 4.4 are the expected chance of winning is 21.4%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Lucas Arcanjo (G) 
Britez E. 
Aguirre F. 
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