Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 12

Date: 27 June 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Do MorumBIS (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Vasconcelos B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Peru	L1 Play
Portugal	Canal 11
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Amazon Prime Video, Fanatiz


	São Paulo		Criciúma

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	6.25	Watch
	1.58	4	6
	1.55	4	6
	1.57	4.17	6.4
	1.56	4.03	6.24
	1.5	4	6
	1.56	4.05	6.1	Watch
	1.55	3.9	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.5)	4.02 ↓ (4.3)	6.1 ↓ (6.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
60.9%

Draw
23.5%

Criciúma
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

22%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

21.5%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	25%	6.2%

São Paulo - Criciúma Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Criciúma will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Paulo: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 2. Igor Vinicius 5. Robert Arboleda 28. Franco A. 6. Welington 16. Luiz Gustavo 25. Alisson 7. Lucas Moura 10. Luciano 9. Jonathan Calleri (C) 47. Ferreirinha	1. Gustavo (G) 13. Jonathan 3. Rodrigo (C) 33. Walisson Maia 22. Marcelo Hermes 88. Gustavo Barreto 8. Newton 6. Ronald Lopes 10. Marquinhos Gabriel 23. Citadin E. 45. Arthur Caike
Substitutes
17. Andre Silva 4. Diego Costa 33. Erick 8. Giuliano Galoppo 34. Igor O. G. 31. Juan Santos 15. Michel Araujo 36. Patryck 35. Sabino 27. Wellington Rato 39. William Gomes 50. Young (G)	25. Alisson (G) 2. Allano 30. Barcia M. 27. Claudinho 99. Eduardo Melo 41. Erick Garcia 7. Fellipe Mateus 5. Higor Meritao 21. Joao Carlos 17. Matheusinho 32. Teixeira M. (G) 14. Trauco M.
Coaches
Zubeldia L.	Claudio Tencati

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Alisson ⚽,
14', Marquinhos Gabriel 🟨,
19', Zubeldia L. 🟨,
21', Ronald Lopes 🟨,
22', 2 - 0, Luciano ⚽, Lucas Moura (A),
26', Robert Arboleda 🟨,
34', Newton 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jonathan ↓, Claudinho ↑,
60', Luciano 🟨,
69', Citadin E. ↓, Allano ↑,
69', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
75', Ferreirinha ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
75', Luciano ↓, Wellington Rato ↑,
75', Alisson ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
79', Claudinho 🟨,
84', Newton ↓, Trauco M. ↑,
86', Ronald Lopes ↓, Barcia M. ↑,
87', Lucas Moura ↓, Juan Santos ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Arthur Caike ⚽,
90+4', Jonathan Calleri ↓, Diego Costa ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match São Paulo is a favorite.

There will not play in São Paulo: Pablo Maia (Injury) Rafinha (Injury)

There will not play in Criciúma: Felipe Vizeu (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
22.06.24	Vasco da Gama - São Paulo	4:1 ✺
19.06.24	São Paulo - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
16.06.24	Corinthians - São Paulo	2:2 ✺
13.06.24	Internacional RS - São Paulo	0:0 ✺
02.06.24	São Paulo - Cruzeiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTTW
- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie A
22.06.24	Criciúma - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
19.06.24	Atlético Goianiense - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
16.06.24	Criciúma - Bahia	2:2 ✺
13.06.24	Athletico Paranaense - Criciúma	3:1 ✺
09.06.24	Criciúma - Cuiabá	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
02.11.14	Criciúma - São Paulo	1:2
Copa Sudamericana
04.09.14	São Paulo - Criciúma	2:0
28.08.14	Criciúma - São Paulo	2:1
Brazilian Serie A
02.08.14	São Paulo - Criciúma	1:1
01.12.13	Criciúma - São Paulo	1:0
05.09.13	São Paulo - Criciúma	1:2

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