Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Barradao (Salvador)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Colombia	DSports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Usa	FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter


	Vitória Salvador		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.8	1.71
	4.45	3.55	1.72	Watch
	4.61	3.84	1.74
	4.36	3.9	1.71
	4.5	3.5	1.7
	4.62	3.68	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↓ (5.06)	3.71 ↓ (3.74)	1.72 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vitória Salvador
20.8%

Draw
25%

Flamengo
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

24.7%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.8%

24.2%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória Salvador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Vitória Salvador - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Flamengo will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Vitória (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vitória (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Arcanjo (G) 45. Nathan Mendes 25. Caca 36. Luan Candido 13. Ramon 44. Baralhas (C) 88. Ze Vitor 150. Matheuzinho 6. Emmanuel Martinez 33. Erick 91. Rene	1. Rossi A. (G) 22. Emerson Royal 13. Danilo 4. Leo Pereira 26. Alex Sandro 52. Evertton Araujo 21. Jorginho 7. Luiz Araujo 15. Carrascal J. 16. Samuel Lino 27. Bruno Henrique (C)
Substitutes
95. Caique Goncalves 26. Edenilson 22. Gabriel (G) 83. Jamerson 31. Lopez R. 20. Lucas Silva 7. Marinho 11. Osvaldo 79. Renato Kayzer 8. Ronald Lopes 12. Tarzia D. 55. Ze Breno	6. Ayrton Lucas 42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 18. de la Cruz N. 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 11. Everton 3. Leo Ortiz 8. Niguez S. 9. Pedro 2. Varela G. 44. Vitao 64. Wallace Yan
Coaches
Jair Ventura	Jardim L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Erick ⚽, Baralhas (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Carrascal J. 🟨,
62', 2 - 0, Luan Candido ⚽,
63', Carrascal J. ↓, Everton ↑,
63', Luiz Araujo ↓, Pedro ↑,
71', Alex Sandro ↓, Varela G. ↑,
74', Matheuzinho ↓, Tarzia D. ↑,
75', Rene ↓, Renato Kayzer ↑,
75', Erick ↓, Marinho ↑,
77', Samuel Lino ↓, Wallace Yan ↑,
80', Tarzia D. 🟨,
80', Varela G. 🟨,
89', Baralhas ↓, Caique Goncalves ↑,
90+2', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
90+7', Emmanuel Martinez ↓, Edenilson ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-2.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Flamengo has had a series of away games.

In this match, Flamengo is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Vitória won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:36. (average 1.1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vitória won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Vitória Salvador - the odds 5.06 are the expected chance of winning is 18.23%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Flamengo - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.07%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie A
09.05.26	Fluminense - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.05.26	Vitória Salvador - Ceará	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
02.05.26	Vitória Salvador - Coritiba	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	Confiança - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.26	Athletico Paranaense - Vitória Salvador	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWTL
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Grêmio - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.26	Independiente Medellín - Flamengo	Abandoned ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.26	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.26	Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 W?TTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
22.04.26	Flamengo - Vitória Salvador	2:1
Brazilian Serie A
10.02.26	Vitória Salvador - Flamengo	1:2
25.08.25	Flamengo - Vitória Salvador	8:0
06.04.25	Vitória Salvador - Flamengo	1:2
08.12.24	Flamengo - Vitória Salvador	2:2
24.07.24	Vitória Salvador - Flamengo	1:2
23.08.18	Flamengo - Vitória Salvador	1:0

Upcoming Matches