Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5


	Fakel		Vitebsk

	1	X	2
	1.64	3.55	4.35
	1.77	3.93	4.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 (1.71)	3.74 ↓ (3.93)	4.59 ↑ (4.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel
54.7%

Draw
24.9%

Vitebsk
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

23.7%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

24.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Fakel - Vitebsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

Fakel is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Vitebsk is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Fakel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Fakel for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh
Russian Premier League
16.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Fakel	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Fakel - Baltika Kaliningrad	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Rostov - Fakel	3:1 ✺
Russian Cup
01.09.26	Fakel - Krasnodar	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian Premier League
29.08.26	Fakel - Zenit	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLL
- FC Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
20.09.26	Vitebsk - Torpedo-BelAZ	6:0 ✺
12.09.26	Vitebsk - Belshina	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Slavia Mozyr - Vitebsk	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Vitebsk - Naftan	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Minsk - Vitebsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WTLWW

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