Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 4

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Academia Vitoria SC (Guimarães)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Vitoria Guimarães B		Varzim

	1	X	2
	2.28	3	2.92
	2.43	2.94	3.35
	2.48	3.03	2.97	Watch
	2.1	3.25	2.9
	2.37	3.26	2.94	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.48)	3.13 ↑ (3.05)	3.03 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitoria Guimarães B
40.1%

Draw
29.5%

Varzim
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

29.8%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

31.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitoria Guimarães B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Varzim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães B than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Vitoria Guimarães B - Varzim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Guilherme (G) 76. Alcobia 82. Dias F. 88. Nogueira M. 33. Opara E. 93. Rika 80. Rocha R. (C) 96. Rodrigo Silva 32. Tepe M. 56. Verdi S. 50. Zeega	51. Momo Mbaye (G) 27. Boloto 19. Chamito 20. Derick 77. Franca F. 35. Gunjo J. 10. Joaozinho 3. Nuno P. 2. Pimenta G. (C) 31. Talocha 44. Vila Cova M.
Substitutes
67. Bruma 97. Carreira D. 79. Carvalho D. 60. Deivid M. 57. Martins J. 73. Miguel Vaz 72. Rodrigues T. 83. Sampaio J. 71. Silva D. (G)	11. Benchi D. 4. Chicao 49. Costa P. (G) 71. Filipe L. 7. Gomes A. 14. Graca H. 99. Pedro Clemente 45. Rebelo M. 17. Sequeira D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', Rocha R. 🟨,
33', Derick 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Zeega ⚽,
43', Franca F. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Tepe M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Franca F. ↓, Graca H. ↑,
46', Pimenta G. ↓, Filipe L. ↑,
46', Talocha ↓, Sequeira D. ↑,
57', 3 - 0, Tepe M. ⚽,
59', Derick ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
61', Verdi S. 🟨,
68', Verdi S. ↓, Miguel Vaz ↑,
68', Opara E. ↓, Carvalho D. ↑,
74', Gunjo J. ↓, Pedro Clemente ↑,
74', Filipe L. 🟨,
77', Alcobia 🟨,
82', Tepe M. ↓, Bruma ↑,
86', Dias F. ↓, Rodrigues T. ↑,
86', Rodrigo Silva ↓, Sampaio J. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães B won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Guimarães B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Guimarães B won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães B won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Guimarães B
Portuguese Liga 3
21.02.26	União de Santarém - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Belenenses	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	Académica Coimbra - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Sanjoanense - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Fafe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTLWW
- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 3
21.02.26	Varzim - Trofense	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Mafra - Varzim	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Varzim - Amarante	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Marco 09 - Varzim	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Varzim - Sanjoanense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
11.01.26	Vitoria Guimarães B - Varzim	1:2
04.10.25	Varzim - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1
19.02.23	Vitoria Guimarães B - Varzim	2:1
04.11.22	Varzim - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:0
Portuguese Liga 2
24.02.19	Vitoria Guimarães B - Varzim	0:0
07.10.18	Varzim - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:2
14.01.18	Vitoria Guimarães B - Varzim	2:1

Vitoria Guimarães B - Varzim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide