The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vitoria Guimarães 59.8%
Draw 23.8%
Marítimo 16.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
55.4%
25.6%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
20.1%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitoria Guimarães has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (-16.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vitoria Guimarães that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marítimo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Vitoria Guimarães - Marítimo Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Marítimo will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 53.8% – 96.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vitoria Guimarães will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Lucas Furtado (G) 23. Strata T. 21. Borevkovic T. 5. Sidibe A. 13. Mendes J. 8. Nogueira G. 16. Mukendi B. 7. Camara O. 20. Samu (C) 11. Gustavo 9. Jakupovic A.
30. Vieites F. (G) 2. Igor Juliao 44. Correia R. (C) 22. Szalai G. 23. Henrique P. 6. Andrade R. 14. Raphael Guzzo 15. Tavares T. 8. Dominguez M. 10. Tejon M. 17. Butzke A.
Substitutes
10. Alanzinho 19. Andersson V. 44. Doucet L. 40. Kebdani M. 2. Maga 6. Mitrovic M. 15. Mosquera Y. 24. Ndoye A. 17. Nogueira M. 29. Ouotro P. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 48. Zych O. (G)
21. Alani I. 66. Ayuma I. 27. Bamba S. 12. Bassouamina M. 90. Boakye M. 11. Bouzaidi S. 4. Fernandes R. 35. Limbombe B. 5. Nilton 3. Ogbeta N. 13. Pastor A. (G) 1. Tabuaco G. (G)
Coaches
Margarido T.
Van der Gaag M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Gustavo 🟨,
17', Nogueira G. 🟨,
23', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
36', Raphael Guzzo 🟨,
36', Tavares T. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Jakupovic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Tavares T. ↓, Bouzaidi S. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Henrique P. (Own goal),
60', 3 - 0, Camara O. ⚽,
62', Andrade R. 🟨,
63', Samu 🟨,
66', Gustavo ↓, Andersson V. ↑,
66', Nogueira G. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
69', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Alani I. ↑,
69', Dominguez M. ↓, Nilton ↑,
76', 4 - 0, Jakupovic A. ⚽, Samu (A),
78', Samu ↓, Alanzinho ↑,
78', Sidibe A. ↓, Mosquera Y. ↑,
78', Jakupovic A. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
80', Tejon M. ↓, Bassouamina M. ↑,
86', Butzke A. ↓, Boakye M. ↑,
90', 5 - 0, Mosquera Y. ⚽, Alanzinho (A),
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 15th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 4.
Guimarães has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Marítimo has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Guimarães has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Guimarães for this game.
Confirmed absences for Guimarães: Gui
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Guimarães: Dias F.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Marítimo: Santiago Perez J.
(Inactive).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guimarães has recorded 12 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:20 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guimarães against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 13:6 goals (averaging 1.3:0.6 per game).
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Lucas Furtado (G) 
Strata T. 
Borevkovic T. 
Sidibe A. 
Mendes J. 
Mukendi B. 
Jakupovic A. 
Vieites F. (G) 
Szalai G. 
Dominguez M. 
Andersson V. 
Doucet L. 
Kebdani M. 
Mitrovic M. 
Mosquera Y. 
Ndoye A. 
Ouotro P. 
Zych O. (G) 
Alani I. 
Bamba S. 
Bassouamina M. 
Limbombe B. 
Ogbeta N. 
Van der Gaag M. 
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