Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Vittoriosa Stars		Żurrieq

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.4	2.18	Watch
	2.88	3.32	2.19
	2.87	3.45	2.2	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.2
	2.69	4.1	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.48)	3.47 ↓ (3.58)	2.18 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vittoriosa Stars
32.3%

Draw
26.1%

Żurrieq
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

25.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

25.3%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vittoriosa Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Żurrieq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vittoriosa Stars than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Vittoriosa Stars - Żurrieq Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Caruana A. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Aquilina G. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 2 - 1, Brafo B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vittoriosa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Vittoriosa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Vittoriosa	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
14	Zurrieq	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vittoriosa Stars
Maltese Challenge League
21.02.26	Marsa - Vittoriosa Stars	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Melita	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Marsa	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	St. Andrews - Vittoriosa Stars	3:3 ✺
17.01.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLTTT
- Żurrieq FC
Maltese Challenge League
21.02.26	Gudja United - Żurrieq	0:3 ✺
14.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Sirens - Żurrieq	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Żurrieq - Mġarr United	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
27.01.26	Żurrieq - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
02.11.25	Vittoriosa Stars - Żurrieq	0:1
03.11.22	Żurrieq - Vittoriosa Stars	2:1

Vittoriosa Stars - Żurrieq: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide