Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 10

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	Vittoriosa Stars		Tarxien Rainbows

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.2	1.35
	6	4.5	1.35
	6.44	4.68	1.38
	6.65	4.8	1.35
	6.2	4.7	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.56 ↑ (4.03)	4.58 ↑ (3.92)	1.36 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vittoriosa Stars
13.8%

Draw
19.8%

Tarxien Rainbows
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

22.9%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

22%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vittoriosa Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vittoriosa Stars's form might have worsened.

Tarxien Rainbows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tarxien Rainbows's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vittoriosa Stars than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vittoriosa Stars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tarxien Rainbows, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group)).

Vittoriosa has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tarxien is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Vittoriosa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tarxien is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Tarxien to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vittoriosa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Vittoriosa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vittoriosa Stars
Maltese Challenge League
03.11.22	Żurrieq - Vittoriosa Stars	2:1 ✺
30.10.22	Vittoriosa Stars - Swieqi United	0:3 ✺
15.10.22	Lija Athletic - Vittoriosa Stars	2:0 ✺
09.10.22	Vittoriosa Stars - Melita	0:4 ✺
02.10.22	San Ġwann - Vittoriosa Stars	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Challenge League
02.11.22	Tarxien Rainbows - St. Andrews	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Attard - Tarxien Rainbows	1:4 ✺
22.10.22	Tarxien Rainbows - Marsaskala	3:2 ✺
16.10.22	Tarxien Rainbows - Fgura United	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Mtarfa - Tarxien Rainbows	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese FA Trophy
03.12.18	Vittoriosa Stars - Tarxien Rainbows	0:3
Maltese Premier League
29.03.14	Vittoriosa Stars - Tarxien Rainbows	1:1
22.02.14	Tarxien Rainbows - Vittoriosa Stars	1:1

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