Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 17

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Bahia		Juventude

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.25	12	Watch
	1.32	5.25	9.5
	1.28	5.3	9.8
	1.3	5.72	11.28
	1.31	4.92	10.29	Watch
	1.33	4.8	9.5
	1.29	5.67	11.3	Watch
	1.45	4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.55)	5.11 ↑ (3.9)	10.21 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
72.1%

Draw
18.6%

Juventude
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

24.3%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventude might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	27.3%	0%

Bahia - Juventude Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahia (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Bahia (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Bahia (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bahia will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bahia (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Ronaldo Strada (G) 13. Arias S. 3. Gabriel Xavier 33. David Duarte 46. Luciano Juba 19. Caio Alexandre 6. Jean Lucas 10. Everton Ribeiro (C) 7. Ademir 12. Willian Jose 16. Erick Pulga	1. Gustavo (G) 36. Nata 23. Abner 4. Angel W. 93. Reginaldo 55. Hudson 16. Jadson (C) 33. Lucas Fernandes 22. Marcelo Hermes 19. Gabriel Taliari 7. Gabriel Veron
Substitutes
1. Danilo Fernandes (G) 89. Dell 25. Iago Borduchi 68. Jota 37. Kayky 22. Marcos Felipe (G) 15. Michel Araujo 26. Nicolas Acevedo 11. Rodrigo 17. Rodriguez L. 70. Vitinho 66. Ze Guilherme	28. Alan Ruschel 27. Batalla E. 5. Cipriano 97. Enio 2. Ewerthon 8. Giraldo D. 44. Mandaca 17. Matheus Babi 10. Nene 72. Peixoto 21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 31. Ze Henrique (G)
Coaches
Mucke R.	Claudio Tencati

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Hudson 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Jean Lucas ⚽, Ademir (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, Jean Lucas ⚽,
63', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
63', Gabriel Veron ↓, Enio ↑,
64', Nata ↓, Mandaca ↑,
68', Caio Alexandre ↓, Nicolas Acevedo ↑,
69', Willian Jose ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
71', Lucas Fernandes ↓, Batalla E. ↑,
73', Matheus Babi 🟨,
77', Hudson 🟥,
82', Ademir ↓, Kayky ↑,
82', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
82', Erick Pulga ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
83', Reginaldo ↓, Ewerthon ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Rodriguez L. ⚽, Kayky (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).

Bahia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Juventude may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bahia is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Bahia: Erick (Hamstring Injury) Kanu (Muscle Injury) Ramos S. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Juventude: Caique Goncalves (Yellow Cards) Gilberto (Yellow Cards) Marcos Paulo (Yellow Cards) Rafael Bilu (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Sam (Injury)

There are questionable in Bahia: Rezende (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Juventude: Cipriano (Hamstring Injury) Ewerthon (Muscle Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Juventude - the odds 6.5 are the expected chance of winning is 14.58%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Copa Sudamericana
22.07.25	América de Cali - Bahia	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.07.25	Fortaleza - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.07.25	Bahia - América de Cali	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.07.25	Bahia - Atlético Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.07.25	Bahia - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTWW
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie A
24.07.25	Juventude - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Cruzeiro - Juventude	4:0 ✺
14.07.25	Juventude - Sport Recife	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Juventude - Grêmio	0:2 ✺
26.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
09.11.24	Juventude - Bahia	2:1
04.07.24	Bahia - Juventude	2:0
30.10.21	Juventude - Bahia	0:0
07.07.21	Bahia - Juventude	1:0

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