Match Info

Date: 2 January 2022, Sunday


	Vizela		BSAD

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.2
	1.81	3.45	4.4	Watch
	1.76	3.35	4.9
	1.8	3.65	4.99
	1.85	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.37)	3.49 ↑ (3.05)	4.6 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
52.5%

Draw
27%

BSAD
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

31%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

20.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vizela's performance.

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BSAD might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-25.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vizela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+22.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BSAD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	7.5%	5%

Vizela - BSAD Predictions

Users Predictions: 281 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 246 - 87.5%). BSAD will win (votes: 14 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 7.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vizela: 83.6% – 91.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Vizela has the most likely position - 18 (11.17%), has project points - 34, has currently - 10, has a chance of relegated (27%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Belenenses has the most likely position - 18 (22.5%), has project points - 31, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (43%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Vizela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Vizela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vizela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Liga Portugal
28.12.21	Marítimo - Vizela	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.12.21	Vizela - Braga	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
19.12.21	Vizela - Porto	0:4 ✺
13.12.21	Arouca - Vizela	1:4 ✺
30.11.21	Braga - Vizela	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWLWL
- BSAD
Taça de Portugal
23.12.21	Rio Ave - BSAD	2:1 penalties ✺
Liga Portugal
19.12.21	Braga - BSAD	1:0 ✺
12.12.21	BSAD - Estoril Praia	0:1 ✺
27.11.21	BSAD - Benfica	0:7 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.11.21	Caldas - BSAD	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
16.09.12	BSAD - Vizela	4:0

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