Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)


	Vizela		Farense

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.4
	2.12	3.15	3.4
	2.15	3.25	3.87
	2	3.27	3.86	Watch
	2	3	3.5
	2	3.29	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.16)	3.19 ↓ (3.29)	3.64 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
45.4%

Draw
29.1%

Farense
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Vizela - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Farense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomis A. (G) 23. Fortune Y. 55. Hristov A. 40. Italo Henrique 45. Ivanov H. 36. Lacava M. 7. Loppy D. 5. Moha Moukhliss 24. Morschel H. (C) 21. Ramos R. 13. Rocha L.	99. Araujo B. (G) 78. Alex Pinto 17. Candeias A. 29. Claudio Falcao (C) 6. Derick Poloni 34. Herrero T. 8. Menino M. 80. Ndiaye A. 19. Oliveira L. 26. Ruben 20. Semedo Y.
Substitutes
8. Bastunov A. 22. Busnic A. 77. Jojo 6. Jota Goncalves 29. Kitala Y. 4. Rhyner J. 25. Ruly (G) 37. Sampaio J. 11. Thio	9. Carter A. 22. Carvalho M. (G) 7. Costa R. 43. Dario Miranda 21. Jaiminho 14. Poveda D. 46. Rafael Pontelo 90. Sangare B. 88. Teixeira R.
Coaches
Silva N.	Jose Faria

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Claudio Falcao ⚽,
38', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ramos R. ↓, Jojo ↑,
56', Italo Henrique 🟨,
60', Loppy D. ↓, Thio ↑,
60', Ivanov H. ↓, Busnic A. ↑,
66', Ndiaye A. ↓, Jaiminho ↑,
66', Oliveira L. ↓, Carter A. ↑,
78', Candeias A. ↓, Dario Miranda ↑,
79', Semedo Y. ↓, Teixeira R. ↑,
79', Moha Moukhliss ↓, Bastunov A. ↑,
80', Italo Henrique ↓, Kitala Y. ↑,
82', Fortune Y. 🟨,
85', Rocha L. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 2, Jaiminho ⚽,
90+4', Menino M. ↓, Rafael Pontelo ↑,
90+7', Carter A. 🟨,
90+8', Bastunov A. 🟨,
90+9', Jaiminho 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vizela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vizela will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vizela won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Vizela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	SC Farense	6	3	2	1	11:5	6	11
5	Vizela	6	3	2	1	7:4	3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Vizela - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.23%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Portuguese Liga 2
12.04.26	Feirense - Vizela	1:0 ✺
07.04.26	Vizela - Benfica B	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Penafiel - Vizela	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Vizela - Lusitânia	4:3 ✺
08.03.26	Felgueiras - Vizela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWWW
- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
11.04.26	Farense - Sporting Lisbon B	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Farense - Feirense	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Benfica B - Farense	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Farense - Felgueiras	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Penafiel - Farense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
08.12.25	Farense - Vizela	2:0
Liga Portugal
09.03.24	Vizela - Farense	2:1
07.10.23	Farense - Vizela	0:0

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