Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 15

Date: 23 December 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Vizela (Caldas de Vizela)

Referee: Melo F. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Vizela		Moreirense

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.5	Watch
	3.03	3.2	2.66
	3.03	3.12	2.66
	2.75	3.1	2.45	Watch
	2.92	3.13	2.56	Watch
	2.95	3.25	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.77)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	2.54 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vizela
32.6%

Draw
29.9%

Moreirense
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29.1%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

29.2%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vizela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vizela than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	36.4%	54.5%

Vizela - Moreirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Vizela will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Moreirense will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Buntic F. (G) 82. Costa Silva T. 3. Wilson Valdez B. R. 5. Anderson Jesus 25. Escoval R. 6. Matheus Pereira 34. Ortiz P. 12. Bustamante R. 20. Samu (C) 8. Mendez A. 99. Essende S.	40. Kewin (G) 76. Pinto D. 26. Maracas 44. Marcelo 18. Amador P. 80. Ofori L. 88. Franco G. 31. Madson 11. Alan 19. Camacho J. 9. Andre Luis (C)
Substitutes
22. Busnic A. 7. Jardel 19. Lebedenko O. 90. Nascimento D. 32. Novillo J. 2. Oliveira H. 23. Rashid O. 1. Ruberto F. (G) 9. Unzueta I.	17. Antonisse J. 10. Aparicio P. 22. Caio (G) 23. Frimpong G. 21. Kodisang K. 7. Matheus Aias 14. Ponck 6. Ramos R. 8. Wallisson
Coaches
de la Barrera R.	Aguiar T.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 6).

Recent matches Vizela is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Moreirense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moreirense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Vizela: Lacava M. (Red Card)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Vizela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Vizela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Vizela
Liga Portugal
16.12.23	Rio Ave - Vizela	1:1 ✺
08.12.23	Vizela - Braga	1:3 ✺
01.12.23	Chaves - Vizela	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.11.23	Vizela - Estrela da Amadora	2:1 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
11.11.23	Vizela - Famalicão	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLWT
- Moreirense FC
Liga Portugal
17.12.23	Moreirense - Portimonense	5:2 ✺
11.12.23	Gil Vicente - Moreirense	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Moreirense - Benfica	0:0 ✺
11.11.23	Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
14.05.22	Moreirense - Vizela	4:1
08.01.22	Vizela - Moreirense	0:1
Taça de Portugal
16.10.16	Vizela - Moreirense	1:0
Club Friendly
09.08.15	Vizela - Moreirense	1:2

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