Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 24

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Higler D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	20:00	Canal+, ESPN


	NAC Breda		Volendam

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5.5	Watch
	1.58	4.2	5.25
	1.65	4.15	4.9
	1.6	4.3	5.38
	1.63	4.15	5.07	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.8
	1.67	4.08	5.34	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.63)	4.11 ↑ (3.82)	5.2 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

NAC Breda
58.7%

Draw
23.1%

Volendam
18.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.1%

24.4%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

23.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Volendam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volendam than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	6.7%	53.3%

NAC Breda - Volendam Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Breda will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Volendam will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Volendam: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Breda (votes: 1 - 50%). Volendam (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Bielica D. (G) 25. Valerius C. 3. Odoi D. 8. Leemans C. 4. Kemper B. (C) 90. Holtby L. 16. Balard M. 14. Sowah K. 7. Brym C. 24. Ayew A. 19. Salama A.	1. van Oevelen K. (G) 5. Ugwu P. 3. Amevor M. (C) 20. Verschuren N. 32. Leliendal Y. 40. van Cruijsen R. 23. Kwakman D. 7. Kokcu O. 77. Ould-Chikh B. 10. Kuwas B. 29. Pauwels B.
Substitutes
21. Candelaria J. 55. Ghalidi B. 1. Kortsmit R. (G) 31. Lamprou K. (G) 2. Lucassen B. 15. Mahmutovic E. 10. Nassoh M. 11. Paula R. 26. Reulen P. 32. Talvitie J.	4. Bacuna J. 25. Blondeau L. 18. Bukala N. 17. Ideho J. 30. Kabba A. (G) 27. Mau-Asam M. 14. Meijers A. 21. Muhren R. 11. Oehlers A. 2. Payne D. 6. Plat A. 16. Steur R. (G)
Coaches
Hoefkens C.	Kruys R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Brym C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Odoi D. ↓, Mahmutovic E. ↑,
56', Kwakman D. 🟨,
56', Kokcu O. ↓, Bacuna J. ↑,
64', Holtby L. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,
64', Salama A. ↓, Nassoh M. ↑,
76', van Cruijsen R. ↓, Ideho J. ↑,
76', Pauwels B. ↓, Oehlers A. ↑,
77', Ould-Chikh B. ↓, Bukala N. ↑,
80', Bukala N. 🟨,
81', Balard M. ↓, Paula R. ↑,
81', Valerius C. ↓, Lucassen B. ↑,
82', Ideho J. 🟨,
83', Kuwas B. ↓, Muhren R. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Reulen P. ⚽, Paula R. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breda won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Breda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Breda is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Volendam: Yah G. (Injury)

There are questionable in Breda: Greiml L. (Injury) Jensen F. (Injury) Soumano M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Volendam: Bukala N. (Inactive) Descotte A. (Inactive) Ideho J. (Inactive) Veerman H. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Breda won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Breda won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

NAC Breda: 7.97% FC Volendam: 2.34%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NAC Breda
Dutch Eredivisie
14.02.26	Heracles Almelo - NAC Breda	0:1 ✺
06.02.26	NAC Breda - Excelsior	0:2 ✺
30.01.26	NAC Breda - Twente	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	PSV Eindhoven - NAC Breda	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	NAC Breda - NEC Nijmegen	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 WLTTL
- FC Volendam
Dutch Eredivisie
13.02.26	Volendam - PSV Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Zwolle - Volendam	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
04.02.26	NEC Nijmegen - Volendam	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
01.02.26	Volendam - Go Ahead Eagles	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Ajax - Volendam	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
08.11.25	Volendam - NAC Breda	2:1
Club Friendly
26.07.25	NAC Breda - Volendam	6:1
30.12.22	Volendam - NAC Breda	4:1
15.07.22	NAC Breda - Volendam	0:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
14.01.22	NAC Breda - Volendam	0:0
18.10.21	Volendam - NAC Breda	1:0
Dutch Eredivisie
15.05.21	NAC Breda - Volendam	4:1

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